Institutional Ownership and Return Predictability Across Economically Unrelated Stocks
Gao, George P.; Moulton, Pamela; Ng, David T.
We document strong weekly lead-lag return predictability across stocks from different industries with no customer-supplier linkages (economically unrelated stocks). Between 1980 and 2010, the industry-neutral long-short hedge portfolio earns an average of over 19 basis points per week. This return predictability arises exclusively from pairs of stocks in which there are common institutional owners. This predictability is a new phenomenon which does not originate from the slow information diffusion underlying previously documented lead-lag effects, weekly reversals, momentum, nonsynchronous trading, or other known factors. Our findings suggest that institutional portfolio reallocations can induce return predictability among otherwise unrelated stocks.
Original paper presented at the 23rd Annual Conference on Financial Economics and Accounting November 16 and 17, 2012, Los Angeles, CA.
institutional ownership; return predictability; anomalies; institutional trading
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