ANALYZING FARM LEVEL PRACTICES AND POLICIES FOR A FINANCIALLY VIABLE SHEEP FARM ENTERPRISE USING SYSTEM DYNAMICS: FOCUSING ON FIBER PRODUCTION AND MARKETING
Small flock ruminant fiber producers in the Northeastern United States (NE US) find themselves at a disadvantage when attempting to market their fibers. Besides having limited market options there are a variety of bottlenecks in the direct market supply chain that they must navigate (e.g. fragmented supply chain, vintage machinery that is costly to run and maintain, and a limited scale/volume due to limited quantity of quality fibers). There are a number of hypotheses in the NE US small flock fiber community concerning how to increase the profit from fiber, from increasing the quality of fiber on the animal to collectively producing products for the consumer market. But the question remains as to what actions would truly result in a successful fiber-producing business. To identify interventions that may help the farmer to increase profits this thesis focuses on analyzing farm level practices and policies. To do this a system dynamics model was built using data gathered from interviews and literature. Once built, shocks were applied to model parameters and the resulting trends were discussed including policy and practice recommendations including: 1) developing a loan program that would enable beginning small ruminant farmers to start with larger herd sizes coupled with educational program that will help them to identify markets and navigate their supply chain; 2) developing a regional check-off program to support branding and marketing efforts and related research; 3) recommending farmers to raise small ruminants that would increase production of all products (wool, meat, livestock) and; recommending farmers to grow storage capacity with their inventory.