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  4. FINANCIALIZATION OF COMMODITY MARKETS: HOW SPECULATIVE ACTIVITY SHAPES COMMODITY SPOT PRICES

FINANCIALIZATION OF COMMODITY MARKETS: HOW SPECULATIVE ACTIVITY SHAPES COMMODITY SPOT PRICES

File(s)
Batra_cornell_0058O_12262.pdf (2.41 MB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://doi.org/10.7298/etn5-jd17
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/116252
Collections
Cornell Theses and Dissertations
Author
Batra, Lavanya
Abstract

This thesis investigates the impact of speculative activity, quantified by the put-call ratio, and hedge fund and trader positions on commodity spot prices in two periods: pre-July 2008 and post-July 2008 commodity prices bubble. A three-stage least squares (3SLS) econometric model is used in study examining seven commodities: corn, copper, crude oil, natural gas, silver, soybeans, and wheat. The findings indicate a significant shift in market sentiment and speculative behavior post-July 2008, with a significant impact on spot prices, especially for oil and agricultural commodities. While trader positions directly show negligible effects, the put-call ratio (speculative activity) acts as a crucial predictor of spot price movements, underscoring the heightened sensitivity and volatility induced by financialization. The research highlights the dynamic between market sentiment, speculative trading, and fundamental macro-economic factors in the commodity markets.

Description
89 pages
Date Issued
2024-08
Keywords
Financialization
•
Market Sentiment
•
Put-Call ratio
•
Speculative Activity
•
Trader Positions
Committee Chair
Turvey, Calum
Committee Member
de Gorter, Harry
Degree Discipline
Applied Economics and Management
Degree Name
M.S., Applied Economics and Management
Degree Level
Master of Science
Type
dissertation or thesis
Link(s) to Catalog Record
https://newcatalog.library.cornell.edu/catalog/16612042

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