EXTRAPOLATION AND BUBBLES: MORE REALISTIC ASSUMPTIONS
While the Barberis et. al (2018) model effectively captures the empirical featuresof overvaluation and high trading volume during bubbles, some empirical phenomena remain unaddressed. For example, the original model requires a shortsale constraint to generate bubbles, as fundamental traders would otherwise short too aggressively against overpricing, effectively removing the bubble. In addition, the model generates three peaks in trading volumes during a bubble which is not in accordance with the real data. The model can be made more realistic along a number of dimensions: we can allow for heterogeneous sentiment; for fundamental traders perceiving a slow correction of mispricing; and for two components to the sentiment process that drives investor demand.