Cornell University
Library
Cornell UniversityLibrary

eCommons

Help
Log In(current)
  1. Home
  2. Cornell SC Johnson College of Business
  3. Cornell Peter and Stephanie Nolan School of Hotel Administration
  4. School of Hotel Administration Collection
  5. SHA Working Papers
  6. What Really Happens During Flight to Safety: Evidence from Real Estate Markets

What Really Happens During Flight to Safety: Evidence from Real Estate Markets

File(s)
Steiner24_What_really_happens.pdf (537.02 KB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/71374
Collections
SHA Working Papers
Author
Boudry, Walter I.
Connolly, Robert A.
Steiner, Eva
Abstract

Flight to safety (FTS) affects the markets for risky assets such as stocks, corporate bonds, and commodities. Yet, little is known about the effects on commercial real estate. We show that REITs offer a partial hedge against FTS, with daily total returns being less sensitive to FTS than many other industries and measures of REIT liquidity actually improving on FTS days. However, a cluster of FTS days signals a decline in economic fundamentals in the long run. We find that the odds of a drop in REIT quarterly revenue increase by 15% after an FTS cluster, ceteris paribus. This effect persists for up to four quarters. We also find that commercial real estate price appreciation is all but wiped out over up to four quarters following an FTS cluster. Our findings benefit investors by providing estimates of the short-term return and liquidity response of REITs to FTS episodes, and by documenting long-term effects on REIT revenues and real asset values.

Date Issued
2018-05-15
Keywords
REIT
•
commercial real estate
•
real asset value
•
FTS episode
•
stock portfolios
Rights
Required Publisher Statement: Copyright held by the authors.
Type
preprint

Site Statistics | Help

About eCommons | Policies | Terms of use | Contact Us

copyright © 2002-2026 Cornell University Library | Privacy | Web Accessibility Assistance