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  4. INVESTIGATING MASS LOSS AND CHANGING ICE DYNAMICS OF ARCTIC ICE CAPS USING REMOTE SENSING

INVESTIGATING MASS LOSS AND CHANGING ICE DYNAMICS OF ARCTIC ICE CAPS USING REMOTE SENSING

File(s)
Zheng_cornellgrad_0058F_12397.pdf (106.75 MB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://doi.org/10.7298/qcf9-f163
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/103445
Collections
Cornell Theses and Dissertations
Author
Zheng, Whyjay
Abstract

Glacier thinning and retreat have accelerated globally in the last century and are the largest contributor to rising sea levels. For the Arctic region, observations and modeling results have shown that extensive warming is taking place. However, the recent glacier dynamics (mass balance and ice discharge) in many Arctic regions have not been well studied due to the remote nature of these glaciers. This thesis uses multiple types of satellite data to quantify the mass balance and ice discharge for three Arctic regions showing dramatic glacier change in recent decades possibly due to Arctic warming. The objective is to resolve the mass budget and velocity pattern on a per glacier basis and understand the mechanisms driving recent changes. To facilitate the entire workflow, our research team has developed the Cryosphere and Remote Sensing Toolkit (CARST) software, and I am the lead author. CARST provides useful python and bash scripts that use satellite imagery, particularly SAR and optical images, to monitor changes of glaciers and ice caps through time. The first study area is Franz Josef Land (FJL), Russia, which is currently subjected to a rapidly-warming climate in the Arctic. I combine surface elevation data derived from different sources and times, including the WorldView satellite series and the ArcticDEM data set (2011–2015), SPOT-5 (2007), CryoSat-2 (2011–2015), and a digitized cartographic map (1953). I calculate elevation change rate (dh/dt) in two different periods, and the results show a two-fold rate of ice loss over the past 60 years, from -2.18 ± 0.72 Gt/yr (1953–2011/2015 average) to -4.43 ± 0.78 Gt/yr (2011–2015). Despite being spatially variable, a trend of increased thinning from NE towards SW is discovered, suggesting a link to the local gradient in temperature and precipitation. Ice loss is mostly focused on marine-terminating glaciers probably due to the interaction between glaciers and warming ocean water. These retreating glaciers generated a new island in 2016 and more islands are likely to emerge in the foreseeable future as FJL’s ice loss has reached an unprecedented rate. The research focus in the following chapter shifts to the neighboring archipelago called Severnaya Zemlya, Russia. A surge-like collapse initiated in 2013 in Vavilov Ice Cap, one of many ice caps in this region. By spring 2019, this ice cap had lost 9.5 Gt of ice. Using time series of surface elevation and glacier velocity derived from multiple satellite data sets such as WorldView (elevation), ArcticDEM (elevation), ASTER (elevation), Landsat 8 (velocity), Sentinel-1, (velocity), Sentinel-2 (velocity), Radarsat-2 (velocity), and ALOS-2 (velocity), I identify a shift of flow pattern starting in 2017 when shear margins formed within the grounded marine piedmont fan. Multiple summer speedups occurred after the new flow pattern formed, possibly with the aid of basal lubrication due to surface melt. With the analysis using multiple physical models, it is suggested that the collapsed ice cap has entered a new ice stream-like regime in which diffusion of surface thinning controls the glacier dynamics. This is the first documented case of an ice stream-like feature ever being formed, and this glacier now flows at a higher speed and drains the ice cap more efficiently. To publicize the findings and their scientific implications, I made two videos showing the temporal changes of the terminus position and speed pattern, which are available on Youtube. In the last chapter, I further develop a physical framework for the glacier perturbation model to understand how different glaciers respond to basal lubrication. The modified 1-D flowline model suggests two physical quantities, Péclet number (Pe) and a value dubbed J0, governing glacier vulnerability to basal lubrication. To test the model, I use the Ice Thickness Models Intercomparison eXperiment (ITMIX) data set and the NASA MEaSUREs ITS_LIVE data set. ITMIX contains velocity, elevation, and ice thickness data from Austfonna Ice Cap, Svalbard, where multiple glacier collapse events occurred within the past 10 years. I calculate Pe and |J0| using the data from ITMIX and compare them with the speed change revealed by the ITS_LIVE data set. The results show that a low Pe and a high |J0| correspond to the high magnitude of glacier speedup during 1995–2018, as suggested by the model prediction. My analysis implies that basal lubrication can lead to a prolonged or even permanent change of glacier dynamics for some glaciers. These “weak” glaciers might be able to waste ice more rapidly than we thought, posing a warning of an underestimated sea level rise projection.

Description
184 pages
Date Issued
2020-12
Keywords
elevation change
•
glacier velocity
•
ice stream
•
Peclet number
•
Russian Arctic
•
Svalbard
Committee Chair
Pritchard, Matthew
Committee Member
Lunine, Jonathan I.
Hayes, Alexander G.
Degree Discipline
Geological Sciences
Degree Name
Ph. D., Geological Sciences
Degree Level
Doctor of Philosophy
Rights
Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International
Rights URI
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
Type
dissertation or thesis
Link(s) to Catalog Record
https://newcatalog.library.cornell.edu/catalog/13312155

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