Cornell University
Library
Cornell UniversityLibrary

eCommons

Help
Log In(current)
  1. Home
  2. Cornell University Graduate School
  3. Cornell Theses and Dissertations
  4. Contingency Planning And Obstacle Anticipation For Autonomous Driving

Contingency Planning And Obstacle Anticipation For Autonomous Driving

File(s)
jsh256.pdf (7.76 MB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/34277
Collections
Cornell Theses and Dissertations
Author
Hardy, Jason
Abstract

This thesis explores the challenge of robustly handling dynamic obstacle uncertainty in autonomous driving systems. The path planning performance of Cornell's autonomous vehicle platform Skynet in the DARPA Urban Challenge (DUC) is analyzed and a new contingency planning formulation is presented that incorporates anticipated obstacle motions for improved collision avoidance capabilities. A discrete set of trajectory predictions is generated for each dynamic obstacle in the environment based on possible maneuvers the obstacle might make. A set of contingency paths is then optimized in real-time to accurately account for the mutually exclusive nature of these obstacle predictions. Computational scaling is addressed using a trajectory clustering algorithm that allows the contingency planner to plan a fixed number of paths regardless of the number of dynamic obstacles and possible obstacle goals in the environment. This contingency planning approach is evaluated using a series of human-inthe-loop experiments and simulations and is found to offer significant improvements in safety compared to the DUC planner and in performance compared to non-contingency planning approaches. A method for performing multi-step prediction over a two-stage Gaussian Process (GP) model is also presented. This prediction method is applied to a two-stage driver-vehicle obstacle model for the generation of high quality obstacle motion predictions using observed obstacle trajectories. An on-the-fly data selection technique is used to minimize computation when analytically evaluating higher order moments of the GP output. An adaptive Gaussian mixture model approach is also presented that allows this prediction technique to accurately predict the motion of highly nonlinear and multimodal systems.

Date Issued
2013-08-19
Keywords
Contingency Planning
•
Collision Avoidance
•
Autonomous Driving
Committee Chair
Campbell, Mark
Committee Member
Huttenlocher, Daniel Peter
Kress Gazit, Hadas
Degree Discipline
Aerospace Engineering
Degree Name
Ph. D., Aerospace Engineering
Degree Level
Doctor of Philosophy
Type
dissertation or thesis

Site Statistics | Help

About eCommons | Policies | Terms of use | Contact Us

copyright © 2002-2026 Cornell University Library | Privacy | Web Accessibility Assistance