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  7. Urban Economic Base as a Catalyst for Movements in Real Estate Prices

Urban Economic Base as a Catalyst for Movements in Real Estate Prices

File(s)
2011_Liu_Urban_economics.pdf (1.17 MB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/70894
Collections
Cornell Real Estate and Finance Working Papers
Author
Coulson, N. Edward
Liu, Crocker H.
Villupuram, Sriram V.
Abstract

We examine the relation between housing prices in an MSA and its urban economic base. We create and employ new forward looking employment growth indices that measure the urban economic strength of an MSA and find that it accounts for a significant and sizeable portion of the house price movements in that MSA. We further partition the urban economic growth into growth by various industries and track the attribution of their growth to housing prices over time. We find that for some MSAs, home prices are driven by the same set of industries over time, whereas for others, home prices are driven by a totally new set of industries in the later quarters, due to the birth of new industries. We also analyze the impact of diversification of an urban economic base on home price volatility and observe that diversification decreases home price volatility. The result has larger implications for urban policymakers in selecting the appropriate type of industries relative to their existing mix of industries.

Date Issued
2010-05-01
Keywords
Cornell
•
urban economics
•
labor market
•
attribution analysis
Related Version
An later version of this article is also available in eCommons.
Related To
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/72037
Rights
Required Publisher Statement: © Cornell University. This report may not be reproduced or distributed without the express permission of the publisher.
Type
article

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