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  4. Sanctionable Behavior and Selective Enforcement: Explaining Forbearance from and Effectiveness of Economic Sanctions

Sanctionable Behavior and Selective Enforcement: Explaining Forbearance from and Effectiveness of Economic Sanctions

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File(s)
Vladicic_cornellgrad_0058F_15554.pdf (5.71 MB)
No Access Until
2028-06-22
Permanent Link(s)
https://doi.org/10.7298/ekv7-k377
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/126643
Collections
Cornell Theses and Dissertations
Author
Vladicic, Aleksandar
Abstract

Economic sanctions are among the most frequently deployed instruments of statecraft, yet fundamental questions about their politics and effects remain unresolved. This dissertation argues that progress requires solving a prior methodological problem: existing research studies only sanctioned states, obscuring both why some violations are punished and others are not, and whether sanctions actually change target behavior. I address these challenges by introducing the Sanctionable Behavior Dataset (SBD), which tracks behaviors that recurrently trigger sanctions and records, for each state-year between 1989 and 2015, whether a given state engaged in that behavior and whether it was sanctioned by the United Nations, United States, or European Union. I deploy this framework to advance two substantive theories. First, I show that states heavily import-reliant on a dominant partner systematically escape its sanctions. Contrary to conventional wisdom, economic vulnerability reduces likelihood of coercion because hierarchical lock-in makes enforcement costly. Second, I advance research on credible commitment, showing that sanctions compel behavioral change only when a sender has both reputation for resolve and enforcement history specific to the targeted behavior. Together, these findings reframe the politics of sanctions enforcement and provide answers to long-standing puzzles in the literature on initiation and effectiveness of sanctions.

Description
197 pages
Date Issued
2026-05
Keywords
credible commitment
•
economic coercion
•
economic sanctions
•
norm enforcement
•
sanctions effectiveness
•
weaponized interdependence
Committee Chair
Way, Christopher
Committee Member
Ba, Oumar
Katzenstein, Peter
Degree Discipline
Government
Degree Name
Ph. D., Government
Degree Level
Doctor of Philosophy
Rights
Attribution 4.0 International
Rights URI
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Type
dissertation or thesis

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