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  4. UNRAVELING COMMODITY MARKET DYNAMICS: INSIGHTS FROM CONVENIENCE YIELDS AND IMPLIED STORAGE COSTS

UNRAVELING COMMODITY MARKET DYNAMICS: INSIGHTS FROM CONVENIENCE YIELDS AND IMPLIED STORAGE COSTS

File(s)
Zhu_cornell_0058O_12053.pdf (1.84 MB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://doi.org/10.7298/mxyw-j872
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/115881
Collections
Cornell Theses and Dissertations
Author
Zhu, Yining
Abstract

This thesis investigates convenience yields and storage costs across five major commodities—wheat, soybean, corn, crude oil, and natural gas—over the period from 2018 to 2023. Using an option-based approach and extensive data analysis, I examined the dynamics of commodity markets, identifying key factors influencing convenience yields such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and market sentiment. Through regression analyses and examination of implied storage costs and the Working Curve, I studied relationships between convenience yields and variables including spot prices, futures prices, and interest rates. Findings also include insights into the relationship between storage supplied and the cost of storage. This research contributes to our understanding of commodity market efficiency, risk management strategies, and offers practical implications for investors navigating volatile commodity markets. Further research could explore drivers behind observed deviations and refine existing models for improved predictive accuracy.

Description
53 pages
Date Issued
2024-05
Keywords
Commodities
•
Convenience Yields
•
Economoics
•
Options
Committee Chair
Turvey, Calum
Committee Member
Just, David
Degree Discipline
Applied Economics and Management
Degree Name
M.S., Applied Economics and Management
Degree Level
Master of Science
Rights
Attribution 4.0 International
Rights URI
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Type
dissertation or thesis
Link(s) to Catalog Record
https://newcatalog.library.cornell.edu/catalog/16575523

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