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  4. THE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM RISKS’ EFFECTS ON THE CHANGE OF COMPANIES’ CASH HOLDINGS

THE UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM RISKS’ EFFECTS ON THE CHANGE OF COMPANIES’ CASH HOLDINGS

File(s)
Xie_cornell_0058O_11698.pdf (849.94 KB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://doi.org/10.7298/2gxw-gp03
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/113964
Collections
Cornell Theses and Dissertations
Author
Xie, Zisu
Abstract

With the constant promotion of globalization, companies have expanded their supply channels and sales network to the whole world, putting more importance on supply chain risks. Based on the precautionary motive for firms’ holding cash (Keynes, 1934), the thesis put forwards the first two hypotheses of the thesis: 1) keeping other variables the same, when the upstream risks of a company get higher, there will be an increase in the company’s cash holdings; 2) keeping other variables the same, when the downstream risks of a company get higher, there will be an increase in the company’s cash holdings, where the thesis utilizes the percentage of the cost from top 5 suppliers to describe the upstream risks and the percentage of revenue from top 5 clients to describe the downstream risks.The research utilizes the balanced panel data from CSRC (China Securities Regulatory Commission) manufacturing industry companies (3305 public companies in total) from 2015 to 2021, from the Wind database, an authoritative database of Chinese public companies. Then, the research utilizes a multi-linear regression model with fixed-effect to test the first two hypotheses. As a result, the experimental results are consistent with the hypotheses that a one percentage point increase in upstream and downstream risks (the percentage of major upstream suppliers) would result in an increase in the company's cash holdings of around 9 million RMB which has passed 10% t-test keeping other variables controlled. Moreover, the thesis chooses the Chow test to test whether the structure of the effects has changed before and after the outbreak of Covid-19 (hypothesis 3), and the Chow test results show that it did.

Date Issued
2023-05
Keywords
cash holdings
•
downstream risks
•
upstream risks
Committee Chair
Turvey, Calum
Committee Member
Zhang, Wendong
Degree Discipline
Applied Economics and Management
Degree Name
M.S., Applied Economics and Management
Degree Level
Master of Science
Type
dissertation or thesis
Link(s) to Catalog Record
https://newcatalog.library.cornell.edu/catalog/16176496

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