Cornell University
Library
Cornell UniversityLibrary

eCommons

Help
Log In(current)
  1. Home
  2. Cornell University Graduate School
  3. Cornell Theses and Dissertations
  4. Market Attitudes under Uncertainty: What is Priced in the Crude Oil Volatility Risk Premium?

Market Attitudes under Uncertainty: What is Priced in the Crude Oil Volatility Risk Premium?

File(s)
Gao_cornell_0058O_11242.pdf (1.4 MB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://doi.org/10.7298/jpnk-g986
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/110402
Collections
Applied Economics and Management MS Theses
Cornell Theses and Dissertations
Author
Gao, Qixiang
Abstract

This paper studies the predictability of volatility risk premia in WTI crude oil futures markets under an uncertain environment. I find that a nontrivial fraction of the magnitude and the direction of the volatility risk premium can be explained by the unforeseeable fluctuations in macroeconomic and financial indicators. Although the previous literature has shown that most of the risk factors (for example, book-to-market ratio and momentum) used in capital asset pricing models are not responsible for variations in the volatility risk premium, I find evidence that the effects of some of the indicators like open interest momentum and growth rate of market interest could be enhanced when taking uncertainty into consideration. The effects of market participants’ behaviors and risk attitudes are strongly correlated with uncertainty, and the cost of hedging against futures price variance will increase if uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment is high.

Description
61 pages
Date Issued
2021-08
Committee Chair
Watugala, Sumudu W
Committee Member
Hwang, Byoung-Hyoun
Degree Discipline
Applied Economics and Management
Degree Name
M.S., Applied Economics and Management
Degree Level
Master of Science
Type
dissertation or thesis
Link(s) to Catalog Record
https://newcatalog.library.cornell.edu/catalog/15160289

Site Statistics | Help

About eCommons | Policies | Terms of use | Contact Us

copyright © 2002-2026 Cornell University Library | Privacy | Web Accessibility Assistance