NETWORKED TRUST: COMPUTATIONAL UNDERSTANDING OF INTERPERSONAL TRUST ONLINE A Dissertation Presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School of Cornell University in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy by Xiao Ma August 2019 © 2019 Xiao Ma ALL RIGHTS RESERVED NETWORKED TRUST: COMPUTATIONAL UNDERSTANDING OF INTERPERSONAL TRUST ONLINE Xiao Ma, Ph.D. Cornell University 2019 My doctoral research develops a deeper understanding of interpersonal trust online through computational methods, in the context of online exchange plat- forms including peer-to-peer marketplaces, sharing economy platforms, and social networks. Through analyzing images in product listings on eBay and LetGo.com, language in profiles on Airbnb, and networks in social groups on Facebook, I show how different algorithms help understand and predict inter- personal trust in each context. Findings reveal patterns of interpersonal trust. For example, high-quality images are perceived as more trustworthy than stock imagery; language of promises lead to higher perceived trustworthiness through conventional signaling; and smaller, denser, and more private social groups are trusted more. These findings inform the design of online exchange platforms. The algorithms predicting trust could also be used for better ranking and rec- ommendation to “engineer“ interpersonal trust. Going forward, I propose a lens of “networked trust” to view interpersonal trust online, which has three focuses: (1) cues in Computer-Mediated Communication; (2) embeddedness in social networks; and (3) increasing mediation by algorithms. The networked trust framework can be used to frame future trust research in other contexts, such as misinformation. Finally, two research agenda were charted by this dis- sertation — AI-Mediated Communication and AI-Mediated Exchange Theory, which future work can develop on. BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH Xiao Ma is a PhD candidate in Information Science and a member of the Social Technologies Lab at Cornell Tech, Cornell University. She started the PhD in September 2014 at Cornell Tech’s temporary campus at the Google NYC building in Chelsea before it moved to Roosevelt Island in July 2017. She is the first PhD to graduate fully contained at the new campus of Cornell Tech since its establishment in 2012. During her PhD, Xiao has worked as a User Experience (UX) researcher at Airbnb and Facebook, and as a data scientist/engineer at the Core Data Science team at Facebook. Different roles have given her different perspectives on the design, implementation, and analysis of real-word socio-technical systems. She also holds a Bachelor of Science in Microelectronics from Peking University. iii To my parents, for giving me the courage and freedom to see a world of infinite possibilities. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The past five years at Cornell Tech have been such an incredible journey. I had a front-row seat to witness the founding and the growth of Cornell’s campus in New York City, Cornell Tech. I would like to thank everyone who made Cornell Tech possible. It was an honor to see the amount of work that goes into creating something new from scratch, and experience the change as we grow. Entrepreneurship is a large part of my identity in addition to research, and I hope to get a chance to build something from scratch of my own one day. I believe the best part of the PhD is the people, and I have so many to thank. First and foremost, my deepest gratitude goes to my advisor, Mor Naaman, who not only taught me how to do good research, but also how to be a better human being. Thank you for always seeing my potential and encouraging me to achieve it. One of the most important lessons I learned from Mor is that the questions matter equally if not more than the answers. I love the process of brainstorming and discussing with Mor to formulate a question, articulate it, then finally solve it. I also thank Mor for sharing his travel stories and introducing me to more music. I probably didn’t travel as much as Mor did during his PhD, but I definitely have been to more art exhibits. I am also so fortunate to have a very interdisciplinary and supportive com- mittee, including Jeff Hancock, Karen Levy, and Serge Belongie. Thank you for teaching me on different fields, including communication, sociology, and computer science. I’d also like to thank Natalie Bazarova, Clarence Lee, Louise Barkhuus and Raz Schwartz for providing important feedback on my early work during the PhD. Outside of Cornell, I have also learned a lot from having support from other institutions, including Stanford, Facebook, Airbnb, and Women in Technology v and Entrepreneurship in New York (WiTNY). I visited the Stanford Institute for Research in the Social Sciences in my second year of PhD. Thank you to Paolo Parigi and Bruno Abrahao for hosting me, and Michael Bernstein for having me spend time with the Stanford HCI group. I made good friends there including Ali Alkhatib, Niloufar Salehi, Ranjay Krishna, and many others. I also reconnected with Scott Cheng, who was doing his Master’s in HCI at Stanford at the time and later became my partner when he moved to New York. Scott and I have very different personalities. His calmness is always there for me whenever I experience anxieties from research. Facebook and Airbnb opened the door for industry for me. I am grateful for having experienced the unique cultures at both places. Thank you to Judd Antin, Janna Bray, Yoni Karpfen, and many others at Airbnb for showing me the ropes of industry research. Thank you to Jenna Lee, Tracy Mehlman, and Affonso Reis for helping me think more deeply about career trajectory. Finally, thank you to the Facebook Core Data Science team, especially Justin Cheng, Lada Adamic, Shankar Iyer, Alex Dow, Moira Burke, Bogdan State, Carlos Diuk, for one of my favorite summers in California. I have always admired Justin’s work and it was an honor to be able to work together. One of my favorite memories during that summer is the Computational Social Science group’s research writing retreat Lada organized, when we all discussed research ideas around bonfire in the mountains of Santa Cruz. I was also so fortunate to be a Women in Technology and Entrepreneurship in New York (WiTNY) fellow during my PhD, advised by Judy Spitz. Through working with Judy, I developed more leadership skills and made efforts to contribute back to the community. Judy is charismatic, resourceful. She is an amazing leader, mentor, and role-model. vi I also want to thank all my lab mates and friends I made during graduate school, including Emily Sun, Ross McLachlan, Nir Grinberg, Maurice Jakesch, Kimberly Wilber, Hani Altwaijry, Andreas Veit, Neta Tamir, Justine Zhang, and many others. I thank Amy X. Zhang at MIT, who convinced me to come to Cornell Tech to work with Mor, and who has always been a role-model and inspiration. Finally, I would like to thank my parents, Jianping Ma and Yan Liang. My father is an academic himself and I grew up on the campus of his university, spending more time in the libraries and classrooms than on the playground. He inspired me to be intellectually curious, and to have broad interests (he is a physicist with interest in calligraphy, poetry and literature). My mother studied computer science, and worked as a software engineer in the 1970s in China. She raised me to be independent, strong, and taught me to write my first program. My parents instilled in me by example the best ethics, in life, and about work. They also gave me the freedom to travel, to see the world, and most importantly, to explore all the possibilities and make my own decisions — they even gave me a name that means freedom in Chinese. The freedom is especially valuable coming from Chinese parents of their generation because of the single child policy. Confucius says, "Don’t travel far away while your parents are still alive. If you do, make it worthwhile." I hope I have made the PhD journey worthwhile, and I hope my parents are proud and may they forgive me for all the time I am absent away from home. vii TABLE OF CONTENTS Biographical Sketch . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iii Dedication . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iv Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v Table of Contents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . viii List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . x List of Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xi 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Outline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 1.2 Summary of Contribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 2 Background 15 2.1 Theoretical Foundations of Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 2.2 Measuring Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.2.1 Determinants and Outcomes of Trust — A Multilevel Per- spective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 2.2.2 Methodological Note on Measuring Trust . . . . . . . . . . 32 2.3 Online Trust and Networked Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 2.3.1 Online Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 2.3.2 Networked Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 2.4 Bias and Distrust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 2.5 Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 3 Images of Trust: Understanding Image Quality and Trust in Peer-to- Peer Marketplaces 48 3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 3.2 Related Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 3.3 Datasets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 3.3.1 LetGo.com . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3.3.2 eBay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3.4 Annotating Image Quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 3.5 Modeling Image Quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 3.5.1 What Makes a Good Product Photo? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 3.6 Marketplace Outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 3.6.1 Image Quality and Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 3.6.2 Perceived Trustworthiness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 3.7 Discussion and Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 4 Language of Trust: Self-Presentation and Perceived Trustworthiness of Airbnb Host Profiles 77 4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 4.2 Related Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 viii 4.3 Step 1: Self-Presentation and Perceived Trustworthiness of Airbnb Host Profiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 4.3.1 Study 1 — How do Hosts Self-Disclose? . . . . . . . . . . . 85 4.3.2 Study 2 — Self-Disclosure and Perceived Trustworthiness 96 4.3.3 Study 3 — From Perception to Choice . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 4.4 Step 2: A Computational Approach to Perceived Trustworthiness of Airbnb Host Profiles . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 4.4.1 Method and Dataset . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 4.4.2 Predicting Perceived Trustworthiness . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 4.4.3 Factors Contributing to Perceived Trustworthiness . . . . 120 4.5 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 4.5.1 Design Implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 4.5.2 Limitations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 4.6 Conclusion and Extensions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 5 Networks of Trust: When Do People Trust Their Social Groups? 131 5.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 5.2 Related Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 5.2.1 Determinants of Trust in Groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 5.3 Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 5.3.1 Sampling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 5.3.2 Survey Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 5.3.3 Data and Statistical Approaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140 5.4 Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 5.4.1 Individual Differences and Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 5.4.2 Group Differences and Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 144 5.4.3 Predicting Trust in Groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 5.4.4 Group Outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 5.5 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156 5.5.1 Design Implications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 5.5.2 Limitations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 5.6 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 160 6 Discussion and Future Work 162 6.1 Algorithms of Trust and Networked Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 6.2 Future Research Agenda . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 6.2.1 Networked Trust and Misinformation . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 6.2.2 AI-Mediated Communication (AI-MC) . . . . . . . . . . . 168 6.2.3 AI-Mediated Exchange Theory (AI-MET) . . . . . . . . . . 170 6.3 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 174 Bibliography 177 ix LIST OF TABLES 3.1 Image feature definitions and example images . . . . . . . . . . . 63 3.2 Ordered logistic regression coefficients predicting image quality labels . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 3.3 Image quality predicted by our models is positively associated with higher likelihood that an item is sold (1.17x more for shoes, and 1.25x more for handbags). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 3.4 Marketplace perceived trustworthiness scale . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 4.1 Topics of self-disclosure in Airbnb host profiles. . . . . . . . . . . 87 4.2 Six-item perceived trustworthiness scale. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 4.3 Performance of sentence category classification. . . . . . . . . . . 118 4.4 Model performance (accuracy) summary by different length batch. Random baseline accuracy is 50%. Models compare profiles of similar lengths to predict relative perceived trustworthiness based on word count. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 4.5 Factors contributing to higher and lower perceived trustworthi- ness by different length batch. LIWC categories “we” and “social” are important positive indicators, potentially through social war- ranting. The LIWC “sexual” category contained mostly the word “love”. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 5.1 Trust in groups survey items. Participants reported the degree to which they agreed or disagreed to each of the survey items on a five-point Likert scale. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 141 5.2 Descriptive summary of survey measures, including general atti- tudes and trust in groups. Sparklines represent the histogram of each measure. (N=6,383) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142 5.3 Baseline model predicting trust in groups using demographics, disposition to trust, risk attitude, in-group loyalty, and social support. (N=6,323 after removing missing age and gender obser- vations) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 5.4 Five sets of group-level features used for predicting trust in groups.145 x LIST OF FIGURES 2.1 Direct and two forms of generalized (indirect) exchange illus- trated by Bearman 1997. Each character represents a party in- volved in the exchange. In direct social exchange, there is direct transfer of value or goods between A and B. In generalized ex- change, multiple parties pool their resources together to produce greater value, which is then further distributed. . . . . . . . . . . 19 2.2 Differences among trust, trustworthiness and perceived trustwor- thiness. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 2.3 Multilevel perspective of trust. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 2.4 The integrative organizational trust model proposed by Mayer et al. 1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 3.1 We study the interplay between image quality, marketplace out- comes, and user trust in peer-to-peer online marketplaces. Here, we show how image quality (as measured by a deep-learned CNN model) correlates with user trust. User studies in Sec. 3.6.2 show that high quality images selected by our model out-performs stock-imagery in eliciting user trust. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 3.2 Samples of lowest-rated and highest-rated images from shoes and handbags groundtruth. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 3.3 Left: standardized score distributions for filtered images on shoes and handbags categories. Right: final ground truth labels, show- ing a fairly even distribution. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 3.4 Hypothetical marketplace mock-ups used for our user experi- ment. From left to right, showing images with high quality score, low quality score, and stock imagery. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 4.1 Probability of disclosure per topic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 4.2 Average number of sentences per topic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 4.3 Self-disclosure trends by topic and host type. The error bars represent one standard error. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 4.4 Perceived trustworthiness increases with profile length (x-axis on log scale). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 4.5 Perceived trustworthiness score distributions for profiles with different number of topics. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 4.6 Comparison for different strategies, organized by the number of topics mentioned in the profile. The dotted lines indicate the bottom and top quartiles in each topic-count group. . . . . . . . . 104 4.7 Observed likelihood that the host with high trustworthiness score is preferred and the probability predicted by Bradley-Terry model, by profile length. The error bars represent one standard error. . . 110 xi 5.1 The relationship between trust in groups and group size, for each dimension (panels), across groups of different privacy types (line style) and individuals with different propensity to trust (line color). Dunbar’s number (150) is marked by a vertical red dotted line.) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 5.2 People have the highest trust in friends and family groups, and lowest in interest- and location-based groups. . . . . . . . . . . . 149 5.3 Groups differ in network density, participant degree centrality, and how a participant’s friends are linked to each other. Each node represents a group member. Each edge represents a friend- ship between two members. The survey participant is colored in red, and group admins are colored in yellow. . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 5.4 For each feature set, we calculated the average feature importance (measured by relative percent increase in MSE when a feature is removed) in predicting trust in groups. Network structure was the most important, followed by an individual’s general attitudes towards others. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 5.5 Groups with higher trust ratings are less likely to increase in size (left), more likely for the survey participant to form new connections in them (right), and had no effect on the likelihood on forming friendships among group members other than the rater (center). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 xii CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION Trust, in the broadest sense of confidence in one’s expectations, is a basic fact of social life. Niklas Luhmann in Trust and Power (1979) Our world builds on the foundation of social exchange. When we say social exchange, we refer to both the psychological and economic aspects of social relationships [Emerson, 1976]. According to Homans, elementary forms of social behavior such as communication among group members can be viewed as an exchange [Homans, 1958]. Employment relationships can also be viewed as an exchange where the reward to the employee is the wage, and the cost is the responsibilities they have [Homans, 1958]. Viewing social relations as exchanges, especially as exchanges in social networks, is helpful in understanding phenom- ena in social structures, including group cohesiveness [Homans, 1958], social solidarity [Bearman, 1997], and power [Blau, 1964]. One of the most important concept that enables the functioning of social exchange systems at scale is trust. Because there are often risks involved in a potentially mutually beneficial exchange, trust is needed to overcome the risks and to facilitate the exchange. For example, commerce could potentially be beneficial for both the buyer and the seller. But the buyer must take “a leap of faith” and trust the seller to provide accurate information about the merchandise before making the decision to purchase. Without trust, no exchange could take place under risks and hardly any form of collaboration could exist. For each 1 individual, without trust, the everyday social life which we take for granted is simply not possible. As Niklas Luhmann wrote in opening chapter of his foundational book Trust and Power [Luhmann, 1979]: “[...] a complete absence of trust would prevent him or her [a person] from even getting up in the morning. [...] Such abrupt confrontation with the complexity of the world at its most extreme is beyond human endurance.” As trust mitigates the uncertainty and complexity in social exchange systems, trust has been frequently attributed for systems’ success. A deeper understand- ing of trust is important for the social, economic and political outcomes of social systems — including for individuals, groups, and nations. For example, trust is considered as an important variable in the development of healthy fam- ily relationships and personalities for individuals [Rotter, 1967] Trust has also been shown to be important for the productivity and cohesiveness of organiza- tions [Mayer et al., 1995, Nyhan, 2000, McEvily et al., 2003, Fine and Holyfield, 1996]. Finally, Fukuyama showed that trust leads to the creation of prosperity for nations [Fukuyama, 1995]. Because of the importance of trust, a robust line of research exists across disciplines on the factors that lead to trust, and the outcomes that trust contribute to, in sociology, psychology, economics, marketing, and management science. At the same time, new questions about trust, especially trust in socio-technical systems, emerge as a result of increasing digital mediation on social exchange relationships. In the past few decades, social exchange relationships have under- gone fundamental changes. In my view, the digitalization of social exchange took place in three waves: (1) the digitization of the exchange of goods; (2) the 2 digitization of social relationships; and (3) the digitalization of the exchange of resources through sharing economy platforms. Each of these waves brought significant changes to social exchange structures, raising new questions about trust at the same time. The work presented in this dissertation addresses these new questions through the development of computational methods. What are some of the new questions about trust that each wave of the digital- ization of social exchange brought? The first wave, the digitization of the exchange of goods, was enabled by online commerce platforms including Amazon (founded in 1994) and eBay (founded in 1995). Through these digital exchange platforms, sellers can reach customers widely regardless of location, and customers in turn have much wider selections to choose from compared to their local stores. However, one core risk emerged — if the buyers pay first, it is possible that the sellers would not send the goods (and disappear from the Internet and reappear under a different name), or send defect goods that do not meet the expectations of the buyers; however, if the sellers send the goods first, the buyers could refuse to pay. In other words, people have to trust others with their financial resources for exchanges to take place on these online commerce platforms. Multiple mechanisms emerged to mitigate the risks and to increase trust, including the development of third-party online payment systems that acted as an assurance (e.g., PayPal, founded in 1998). Reputation systems also appeared as a key mechanism to increase trust. A long line of research on reputation systems has discussed their benefits and limitations [Resnick et al., 2000, Resnick and Zeckhauser, 2002, Resnick et al., 2006, Cook et al., 2009]. Two decades later, new questions about trust on these online commerce 3 platforms are still emerging as platforms continue to evolve. For example, due to the wide accessibility of mobile photography, user-generated images of goods play an ever increasingly important role in establishing trust in peer-to-peer marketplaces, compared to stock imagery. New advancements in computer vision (e.g., deep learning) also present opportunities to understand how user- generated images establish trust. This dissertation presents a case study on leveraging new computational opportunities to understand and predict how user-generated images impact trust in online marketplaces. The second wave of the digitalization of exchange was the digitization of social relationships, characterized by the ubiquitous adoption of social network sites (SNSs) such as Facebook (founded in 2004), Twitter (founded in 2006), LinkedIn (founded in 2002) and Instagram (founded in 2010). Although online communities have long existed since the beginning of the Internet, these SNSs enable users to articulate and make visible their social networks [Boyd and Elli- son, 2007]. New questions around trust again emerged. The core risk presented by SNSs in social exchange is how personal information flows through networks. Self-disclosure on SNSs can be visible to a “networked audience” [Marwick and Boyd, 2011], including real and potential viewers through a broadcasting audience network. Therefore, there are a lot of risks when people post or share content online. People need to trust others with their personal information, includ- ing information about their identities, biometric data, social ties, experiences, feelings, emotions, etc. Important opportunities are also brought by SNSs to better understand in- terpersonal trust, especially around how tie strength and network structure contribute to interpersonal outcomes. For example, computational methods 4 have been developed to predict strong and weak ties [Gilbert and Karahalios, 2009]. People’s friendship network structure has been found to be informative for predicting romantic relationships [Backstrom and Kleinberg, 2014]. This dissertation continues to leverage the opportunities to study network structure by presenting a large-scale analysis on how social network structure predicts trust in Facebook groups. Finally, the third wave of the digitalization of exchange — the digitalization of the exchange of resources — took place at scale through sharing economy platforms such as Airbnb (founded in 2008); Uber (founded in 2009); and Lyft (founded in 2012). Building on top of the payment and social networks infras- tructure developed by the first two waves of the digitalization, the last wave of the digitalization of social exchange requires that people not only trust others with their financial resources, personal information, but also their physical safety. When people stay at strangers’ homes (Airbnb), or hop into strangers’ cars (Uber and Lyft), a great amount of risks are being mitigated through interpersonal trust as well as trust in the sharing economy platforms. One of the most distinct characteristics of these platforms is that they blur the line of social and econom- ical exchange [Hamari et al., 2016, Ikkala and Lampinen, 2015, Lampinen and Cheshire, 2016], For example, in the context of Airbnb, “guests” stay at “hosts”’ homes paying a fee, constituting an economic transaction. However, unlike a purely hotel-like interaction, some Airbnb hosts also value social interactions as well as potential friendships built through hosting [Lampinen and Cheshire, 2016]. The in-between nature of sharing economy interactions creates new questions about how people trust each other on these platforms. Social mechanisms such 5 as homophily can play a role in establishing trust [Abrahao et al., 2017]. The problem of bias can also arise [Edelman and Luca, 2014]. At the same time, reputation systems can help offset homophily tendencies [Abrahao et al., 2017]. Other mechanisms such as self-disclosure can also establish trust by reducing uncertainty [Berger and Calabrese, 1975, Ellison and Hancock, 2013]. This disser- tation presents a case study on self-disclosure and trust through computational analysis of the language in host profiles on Airbnb. As sharing economy con- tinues to evolve and mature, new questions about trust will continue to arise. For example, in addition to lodging, Airbnb has also launched “experiences”1, where hosts lead in-person tours for guests. “Experiences” require higher levels of interpersonal interaction and hence also higher levels of trust. Understanding how trust functions at different levels and how to predict trust computationally by level remain future work. Taken together, three waves of the digitalization of exchange have fund- mentally altered the social structure under which people conduct exchanges — creating new questions about how people trust each other within these new structures. My work address some of these new questions about trust in the context of each wave, with a focus on leveraging computational methods to build algorithms to understand and predict trust. Through computational methods on analyzing images, language, and social networks, we gain a deeper under- standing of trust in digitalized social exchange that are perhaps hard to obtain with qualitative or smaller scale studies. The insights on how people trust each other in each context can inform the design of the digital platforms facilitating exchange. At the same time, these new computational models also have the potential to be built directly into the digital platforms to influence the ranking 1https://www.airbnb.com/help/article/1581/what-are-experiences 6 and recommendation of potential exchange partners, fostering trust through engineering. More importantly, the work presented in this dissertation prompts us to think about trust in digitalized exchange differently. Originally, trust as a concept was developed as a social construct between people [Luhmann, 1979]. The concept of online trust, or eTrust, gained importance with the first wave of digitalization of exchange in the context of trust on online commerce platforms [Cook et al., 2009]. However, as discussed in the contexts of SNSs, trust is also affected by networks. In addition, increasingly, algorithms are gaining more control over how we trust online through personalization and recommendations. Online trust as a term or framework for thinking about trust in these socio-technical systems is becoming insufficient. To incorporate and emphasize the roles of networks and algorithms in trust in digital platforms that facilitate exchange, I propose the framework of “networked trust”. The term “networked” is borrowed from the concept of “net- worked individualism”, which refers to the new social structure where people are embedded in social networks with more weak ties as a result of digitalization of social relationships [Rainie and Wellman, 2012]. There are three focuses in net- worked trust: (1) cues in Computer-Mediated Communication; (2) embeddedness in social networks; and (3) increasing mediation by algorithms. The first focus of networked trust, cues in Computer-Mediated Communi- cation (CMC), refers to how cues that are available in digitalized social exchange differ from cues in face-to-face interactions. This focus of networked trust is most aligned with the traditional meaning of the term “online trust”. Increased uncertainty brought by CMC results in the need for overcoming such uncertainty 7 to establish trust. In my work, I discuss how images and language cues play a role in establishing trust in Chapter 3 and Chapter 4, by leveraging opportunities brought by new computational methods to deepen our understanding of cues. The second focus of networked trust, embeddedness in social networks, refers to how information about social networks can affect trust. For example, on LinkedIn, when users view another person’s profile, LinkedIn informs the users about how they are connected in the LinkedIn network. Information such as the number of common connections, the degree of separation, the specific people that can act as a bridge to introduce the users, are important for establishing trust in the context of networking. In my work, Chapter 5 shows how networks contribute trust in the context of social groups on Facebook. Finally, the third focus of networked trust, increasing mediation by algo- rithms, refers to how trust can be impacted by algorithmic reconfiguration of social exchange relationships. It is no secret that modern digitalized exchange platforms use algorithms for personalization [Gubin et al., 2017, Bakshy et al., 2015, Grbovic and Cheng, 2018, Linden et al., 2003, Zhou et al., 2008]. Notable examples of such algorithmic mediation include, Facebook News Feed rank- ing [Gubin et al., 2017, Bakshy et al., 2015], Netflix Prize [Zhou et al., 2008], and Amazon’s item-to-item collaborative filtering [Linden et al., 2003]. Increasingly, sharing economy platforms such as Airbnb also deploy algorithmic ranking and matching algorithms to recommend exchange partners, potentially optimizing for conversion [Grbovic and Cheng, 2018]. A key part of the utility value of Uber and Lyft comes from the algorithmic matching of drivers and passengers through dispatch and routing. These algorithms create efficiency in exchange relationships, but can also create problems for trust. The opaqueness and invisi- 8 bility of such algorithms can hinder not only how users trust the system [Eslami et al., 2015], but also how people trust each other when mediated by algorithms. The algorithmic mediation in interpersonal exchange also raises new questions about bias, which can further reduce trust in the platform. For example, should matching algorithms on online dating platforms recommend potential partners for users of their own race [Hutson et al., 2018]? This dissertation does not di- rectly address this focus of networked trust, but Chapter 6 discusses how future work can make an important theoretical contribution through the development of AI-Mediated Exchange Theory. The work presented in this dissertation sets the foundation for several areas of future work. The networked trust lens can be directly applied to new contexts to understand how different factors affect trust in a networked environment. For example, in the context of misinformation, networked trust framework will look at how factors work together to impact trust in information, including cues (the credibility of news sources), networks (how information spreads through social networks), and algorithms (the impact of algorithmic curation). At the same time, networked trust can be extended to chart two future direc- tions of research: AI-Mediated Communication (AI-MC) and AI-Mediated Ex- change Theory (AI-MET). The first focus of networked trust, cues in Computer- Mediated Communication, can be extended to AI-Mediated Communication (AI-MC). In interpersonal communication, increasingly AI-powered systems can modify, augment, and even generate cues in self-presentation or messages to optimize for interpersonal outcomes. For example, the algorithms built in this dissertation predicting trust in Airbnb host profiles can be fitted to improve a given profile to make it appear to be more trustworthy. AI-MC aims to under- 9 stand how such AI-powered systems might impact interpersonal communication outcomes, which is important for the future of networked trust. Early studies have already observed initial effects of AI-MC [Jakesch et al., 2019] while exact definition and research agenda are being developed and completed [Naaman et al., 2019]. At the same time, the third focus of networked trust, increasing mediation by algorithms, can be extended to AI-Mediated Exchange Theory (AI-MET). AI-MET is an extension of social exchange theory [Cheshire, 2007,Yamagishi and Cook, 1993,Bearman, 1997]. By viewing AI systems as mediating social exchange in socio-technical systems, AI-MET articulates different mechanisms through which AI reconfigures social exchange relationships. AI-MET can allow different perspectives in exploring the relationships between humans and AI to speak to each other. AI-MET can be useful in understanding issues of AI in socio-technical systems such as how trust in the algorithms affects trust in another person when their relationships are mediated by algorithms. 1.1 Outline The rest of this dissertation is organized as such: Chapter 2 first sets a theoretical foundation for the definition of trust using social exchange theory. Chapter 3 - Chapter 5 each details a case study on the computational understanding and prediction of trust. Each case study investigate trust in the context of a platform representing specific wave of the digitalization of social exchange, including peer-to-peer marketplaces, social networks, and sharing economy platforms. Then, Chapter 6 charts future research agenda based on the work presented in 10 this dissertation. Specifically, Chapter 2 reviews the literature that my work builds upon. The first section reviews social exchange theory as the theoretical foundation for the definition of trust. Through social exchange theory, we view the world as an equilibrium established through negotiated exchange. Trust mitigate risks during exchange, leading to higher efficiency and better societal outcomes. Then, key literature on the determinants, outcomes, and the measurement of trust was reviewed through a multilevel perspective. Special attention was paid to literature in online trust, and the lens of networked trust was discussed in more detail in relation to literature in online trust. Finally, literature related to the flip side of trust, bias was reviewed, including the racial, gender, status, and algorithmic bias. In the two chapters that follow, I cover work on the first focus of networked trust — how trust is established through images (Chapter 3) and language (Chapter 4) cues. Chapter 3 examines the role of image cues on trust in the context of online peer-to-peer buy-and-sell marketplaces. Using techniques from computer vision, including both image feature-based and deep learning, I show that we can predict image quality with high accuracy (close to 90%), and that high quality images predicted using our model outperform stock imagery in generating trust in marketplaces. Finally, I also show that higher quality images predicted by our model leads to higher sales, showing how algorithms predicting trust translate to real-world outcomes. Chapter 4 discusses how we can learn about trust on Airbnb based on lan- 11 guage cues in host profiles. There are two parts in this chapter. First, I discuss how we constructed the dataset of Airbnb host profiles with perceived trust- worthiness, while developing different topics that are frequently mentioned in the profiles. Then, I present a computational framework to predict trust in host profiles leveraging natural language processing and machine learning. Next, Chapter 5 expands on the second focus of networked trust — trust in social exchange that is embedded in social networks. Chapter 5 presents a large-scale comprehensive study of trust in people’s social groups on Facebook. Leveraging survey data with social network and interactions data, we learn the patterns of trust across a diverse range of groups of different sizes and categories. I show how both individual characteristics and group characteristics such as group network size and density matter for trust in groups. In addition, I show how trust in groups may lead to different group outcomes, and how we can leverage these findings to design for better online groups. Finally, Chapter 6 charts three directions for future work: (1) networked trust and misinformation; (2) AI-Mediated Communication (AI-MC); and (3) AI-Mediated Exchange Theory (AI-MET). 1.2 Summary of Contribution This dissertation contributes to the field of Human Computer Interaction (HCI), Computer-Supported Cooperative Work and Social Computing (CSCW), and Computational Social Science in the following ways: 1. Through three comprehensive studies of computational trust in different 12 contexts, this dissertation extends previous understanding of trust lever- aging new techniques (e.g., deep learning), new contexts (e.g., sharing economy), and new data sources (e.g., network structure). Each study showed that not only we were able to understand and predict trust using a variety of different algorithms, but also trust has real-world impact on specific outcomes. Importantly, all work presented in this dissertation is based on large-scale real-world systems — covering major categories of social exchange platforms that represent different waves of digitalization of social exchange (online commerce, social networks, and sharing econ- omy). The findings in this dissertation validate and extend what we know about trust, and can inform the design of future digital platforms to better facilitate trust. 2. This dissertation proposes a framework of “networked trust”, which can be a useful lens to further the discussion from “online trust” to focus more on factors that are increasingly important — networks and algorithms. Networked trust can be applied to different contexts where trust is urgently needed, such as misinformation, to understand how cues, networks, and algorithms work together to affect trust. 3. Finally, networked trust can further be extended to chart two important research agenda for future development — AI-Mediated Communication and AI-Mediated Exchange Theory. AI-Mediated Communication focuses on extending the cues focus of networked trust, by better understanding the impact of AI on interpersonal outcomes when cues are subject to the modification, augmentation, and generation by AI. AI-Mediated Exchange Theory, on the other hand, focuses on incorporating the role of algorithms in networked social exchange broadly. Early work has been established 13 in AI-Mediated Communication [Jakesch et al., 2019, Naaman et al., 2019], while AI-Mediated Exchange Theory remains future work. 14 CHAPTER 2 BACKGROUND Trust is the chicken soup of social life. [...] Like chicken soup, trust appears to work somewhat mysteriously. Eric M. Uslaner in Producing and Consuming Trust (2000) The work presented in this dissertation is highly inter-disciplinary. My defi- nition and the scoping of trust build on previous scholarship across disciplines, just to name a few, sociology [Luhmann, 1979, Gambetta, 1988], psychology [Rot- ter, 1967], economics [Berg et al., 1995], business [Grabner-Kraeuter, 2002], and political science [Miller, 1974]. This chapter reviews prior scholarship on trust across disciplines that my work builds on through a multilevel perspective. One key challenge of researching trust is that the term is heavily loaded with many different meanings and bears a great deal of ambiguity. To clarify the concept being studied, this chapter first provides a theoretical framework under which we define trust, heavily drawing from social exchange theory (Sec- tion 2.1). Then, in order to talk about trust concretely in specific contexts, I review various measurements, determinants and outcomes of trust in prior literature (Section 2.2). The work presented in this dissertation draws from the defini- tion and measurements reviewed here. In addition, because this dissertation focuses on trust in digitalized exchange, I devote a section to specifically focus on previous literature on online trust (Section 2.3). As networks and algorithms play a more important role in digitalized exchange, I propose the framework of 15 “networked trust” as a lens to reason about trust in networked environments and to address new challenges that arise. Finally, trust as a mechanism to facilitate exchange has key limitations. Trust- ing someone usually means distrusting others. As the process of forming trust can be subjective, bias can occur when there is need to trust. Section 2.4 reviews literature on four different types of biases, racial, gender, status, and algorith- mic. Bias can be manifested in algorithms in subtle ways. Before deploying computational models that predict trust to real-world applications, we need to be cautious and aware of the potential biases that these algorithms may have. 2.1 Theoretical Foundations of Trust Trust is an inherently social phenomenon. To research trust and to connect the results meaningfully to societal outcomes, it is important to view it not in isolation but rather grounded in broad sociological traditions and structures. This section provides the theoretical foundation for defining trust — drawing from social exchange theory in sociology. Sociology, the study of society, has multiple paradigms, which are “funda- mental images of the subject matter within a science” [Ritzer, 1975]. Paradigms are useful to “define what should be studied, what questions should be asked, how they should be asked, and what rules should be followed in interpreting the answer obtained” [Ritzer, 1975]. According to Ritzer, major paradigms in sociology include: structural functionalism (or systems theory), conflict theory, symbolic interactionism, and social exchange theory [Ritzer, 1975]. Structural functionalism is oriented to analyze social structures and institutions, viewing 16 individuals as largely controlled by the structures they are embedded in. Conflict theory, on the other hand, views the world in constant conflicts and focuses on studying disintegration and change in society. Symbolic interactionism places greater emphasize on the mental process of the individuals as active creators of social reality. Finally, social exchange theory views social change and stability as a process of negotiated exchanges between different parties, primarily driven by the process of reinforcement [Emerson, 1976].1 We can view trust under any of these paradigms, and the resulted research would have different focuses. For example, trust when viewed under structural functionalism serves as a “mechanism to reduce social complexity” [Luhmann, 1979].2 Such a viewpoint can be found in one of the earliest classic work on trust: the 1979 book Trust and Power by Niklas Luhmann [Luhmann, 1979]. The complexity of social systems is due to both the scale as well as uncertainties in interacting with each agent in the system. Analyzing the motivation and potential behaviors of each agent is cognitively impossible. Trust provides a shortcut for decision-making when navigating social systems and thus reduces social complexity. As the “lubricant of social interaction” [Arrow, 1974], trust facilitates social interactions, reducing the whole system’s complexity. On the other hand, if we view trust under conflict theory, we can focus more on the dynamics of distrust and mistrust [Kramer, 1999, Ely, 1980, Marsh and Dibben, 2005, Kiousis, 2001]. Trust under symbolic interactionism would include work that focuses on the psychological process such as how nonverbal cues affect trust in partners [Lee et al., 2013, DeSteno et al., 2012]. Finally, trust under 1We do not expand on the limitations of each paradigm in this dissertation as it is not the focus, but curious readers can find relevant discussions in [Ritzer, 1975, Emerson, 1976]. 2It is worth noting that trust is not the only mechanism to reduce social complexity. Power and control can also reduce social complexity by reducing the freedom of others, through possibly coercion, contracts, and reputation systems [Luhmann, 1979]. 17 social exchange theory would focus on how trust enables cooperation — as seen in another classic book on trust, Trust: Making and Breaking Cooperative Relations [Gambetta, 1988]. In this dissertation, I draw primarily on the last paradigm, social exchange theory. Viewing trust under social exchange theory has the following advantages: (1) It allows for a clean definition of trust in the context of risks in exchange; (2) It allows for a multilevel view of trust as social exchange theory accounts for both micro and macro exchanges; (3) It allows for the easy incorporation of digital platforms in exchange. We expand on each point below. First, as mentioned above, trust is a loaded term, used colloquially to refer to a variety of different things. Grounding trust in social exchange theory allows for a clean definition of trust in the exchange context that mitigates risks. Social exchange theory views social change and stability as a process of negotiated exchanges between different parties. Social relations are the units of analy- sis [Emerson, 1976] in social exchange theory. By analyzing costs and rewards in these relations, social exchange theory reasons about how people make de- cisions in the social world quasi-economically. In a potential exchange context, risks can create obstacles of collaboration, preventing the exchange from taking place. Trust, a decision to be vulnerable to the other party involved in the exchange, can mitigate risks and thus enable exchange and cooperation. As Diego Gambetta defined: “Trust (or, symmetrically, distrust) is a particular level of the sub- jective probability with which an agent assesses that another agent or group of agents will perform a particular action, both before he 18 can monitor such action (or independently of his capacity ever to be able to monitor it) and in a context in which it affects his own action. When we say that the probability that he will perform an ac- tion that is beneficial or at least not detrimental to us is high enough for us to consider engaging in some form of cooperation with him. Correspondingly, when we say that someone is untrustworthy, we imply that the probability is low enough for us to refrain from doing so.” [Gambetta, 1988] Figure 2.1: Direct and two forms of generalized (indirect) exchange il- lustrated by Bearman 1997. Each character represents a party involved in the exchange. In direct social exchange, there is direct transfer of value or goods between A and B. In general- ized exchange, multiple parties pool their resources together to produce greater value, which is then further distributed. Second, unlike pure macro-focused theory such as structural functionalism, social exchange theory focuses both on direct (micro) and generalized (macro) exchange [Emerson, 1976]. Direct exchange usually refers to dyadic exchange, 19 where two parties engage in a mutually beneficial exchange relationship, trans- ferring value or goods directly between two parties. At the same time, social exchange theory also discusses generalized exchange — or sometimes referred to as “productive exchange” — the process where resources from multiple parties are pooled together to produce greater value, which is then further be dis- tributed [Emerson, 1976, Bearman, 1997, Yamagishi and Cook, 1993]. Figure 2.1 contains illustrations of direct exchange (top left), and two different forms of generalized exchange (top right: net form, bottom: chain form) [Bearman, 1997]. We can view trust in the context of facilitating both direct and generalized ex- change — leading to a multilevel view of trust that we expand in Section 2.2. The multilevel view of trust refers to the study of trust at different levels of abstractions, for example, trust at the individual level, trust in groups, trust in organizations, trust in the government, and most broadly, trust in the society. A multilevel view of trust is useful for organizing prior work on trust across multiple disciplines and traditions. At the same time, it can also inform the development of computational models that incorporate predictors on both micro and macro levels. Finally, the exchange view of trust allows for easy incorporation of the ef- fects of online platforms on social exchange and trust. The digital platforms alter the social structure under which people conduct exchange, creating new questions about trust during the process. In the past few decades, our social exchange structure has undergone fundamental changes through three waves of the digitalization of exchange: (1) the digitization of the exchange of goods; (2) the digitization of social relationships; and (3) the digitalization of the exchange of resources through sharing economy platforms. As a result, people rely on cues that are available online such as images and language to establish trust, rather 20 than relying on nonverbal cues in face-to-face interactions. In addition, how people are embedded in social networks plays a key role in establishing trust. Defining trust under the framework of social exchange theory also allows for the easy incorporation of networks as factors that impact trust in mediated exchange. In fact, the “networked trust” framework proposed by this dissertation is such an extension from social exchange theory [Cook and Whitmeyer, 1992]. In conclusion, the work presented in this dissertation views trust through the lens of social exchange theory, one of the many sociological paradigms. Through- out this dissertation, trust at the highest level of abstraction is defined as: a willingness to make oneself vulnerable to other parties in direct or general- ized exchange, which mitigates risks and enables exchange and cooperation. However, in specific contexts, trust can be defined and measured in more context- specific ways. We review literature on measuring trust next. 2.2 Measuring Trust When I tell people that I conduct research on trust, the first question they usually ask is, “Well, but how do you measure trust?” It is a fair question. The first step to research anything is to define and measure it, especially for a loaded term such as trust. This section focuses on the measurement of trust through first providing a categorization of common definitions of trust, and then reviewing literature on three key methods: (1) surveys; (2) real-world behavior proxies; and (3) lab-based trust games. In particular, I use a multilevel perspective to categorize common definitions of trust to provide some clarity on what trust means across different disciplines and traditions. In addition, as I show in Chapter 5, a multilevel 21 perspective of trust can inform the development of computational models by incorporating both micro and macro level factors to improve prediction accuracy. Figure 2.2: Differences among trust, trustworthiness and perceived trust- worthiness. Before we delve in, it is helpful to first clarify a few closely related concepts: trust, trustworthiness, and perceived trustworthiness. Hardin [Hardin, 2002] and Kiyonari et al. [Kiyonari et al., 2006] pointed out that the general literature on trust typically overlooked the difference between trust and trustworthiness, and used the term interchangeably. As illustrated in Figure 2.2, trust is exhibited by a trustor — a decision to be vulnerable, and trustworthiness is a characteristic of the trustee [Kiyonari et al., 2006]. In particular, there are also important differences between trustworthiness and perceived trustworthiness. Trustworthiness refers to whether the trustee behaves in a way that is not harmful to the trustor in reality even though that it is well within the trustee’s capacity and freedom to do so [Kiyonari et al., 2006]. Perceived trustworthiness, on the other hand, is in the eyes of the trustor. It refers to a subjective belief of the trustor about the trustworthiness of the trustee, which can be of course be subjective and biased [Cheshire, 2011]. The relationships among three concepts are complex. In one-shot interactions, trust does not necessarily beget trustworthiness [Kiyonari et al., 2006]. Perceived trustworthiness does not necessarily lead to trust either. The decision to trust might be mediated by the risk tolerance of the trustor. In this dissertation, when 22 necessary, I try to distinguish between trust, trustworthiness, and perceived trustworthiness. Such distinction is helpful for measuring of trust. But when I discuss general concepts, such as in the context of “networked trust”, for simplicity, I use “trust” to encapsulate trust, trustworthiness, and perceived trustworthiness. 2.2.1 Determinants and Outcomes of Trust — A Multilevel Per- spective As a concept central to social exchange, trust has received research attention from a variety of disciplines in the past, just to name a few, sociology [Luhmann, 1979, Gambetta, 1988], psychology [Rotter, 1967], economics [Berg et al., 1995], business [Grabner-Kraeuter, 2002], and political science [Miller, 1974]. Different traditions, focuses, and levels of abstractions across disciplines make it difficult to reach an agreement on how trust should be measured, what leads to trust, and its outcomes. To bridge the gaps among different disciplines, I provide a multilevel perspective of prior literature on trust, focusing on the determinants and outcomes of trust first, and its measurement in Section 2.2.2. What is a multilevel view of trust? When people talk about trust, they can be referring a variety of different things. Most commonly, trust refers to an individual’s trust in other entities across levels of abstractions. As depicted in Figure 2.3, trust can be discussed in the context of trust in another person, trust in several other people within a group or organizations, trust in a specific company or platform, or trust in the society in general.3 Below I review specific work on 3One can of course theoretically discuss trust originating from not the individual, but other 23 Figure 2.3: Multilevel perspective of trust. trust at each level of abstraction. Trust in another person (dyadic). Trust in another person, or commonly referred to as dyadic trust, is one of the most common conceptualizations of interpersonal trust [Larzelere and Huston, 1980, Berg et al., 1995]. Dyadic trust refers to the decision to trust or the assessment of trustworthiness of a specific individual, as opposed to people in aggregate [Larzelere and Huston, 1980]. From a social exchange theory point of view, dyadic trust is trust involved in direct exchange. One key advantage of studying dyadic trust is that it is the “minimal” meaningful unit of interaction that involves trust, providing conceptual simplicity to investigate factors that affect trust. The field of social psychology and economics both discuss dyadic trust heavily, but using different methods. In psychology, dyadic trust is most com- monly measured with techniques in psychometrics, by developing interper- entities, such as how a company trusts another company. However, such discussion is less common in prior literature and also not the focus of this dissertation. 24 sonal trust scales. For example, the Dyadic Trust Scale measures dyadic trust with agree/disagree items including “My partner is primarily interested in his (her) own welfare”, and “My partner is perfectly honest and truthful with me” [Larzelere and Huston, 1980]. Such measures of dyadic trust has shown that dyadic trust correlates with love and intimacy of self-disclosure [Larzelere and Huston, 1980]. The work presented in Chapter 4 in this dissertation follows this tradition and investigates dyadic trust on Airbnb using a interpersonal trust scale adapted to the domain of lodging. In economics, dyadic trust is most commonly measured through trust games [Berg et al., 1995]. Initially developed by Berg et al., the trust game is an economic decision-making game that has built-in risk dynamics to allow for the measurement of trust and trustworthiness [Berg et al., 1995] (I expand on details of the trust game in Section 2.2.2). Since then, the trust game has become a useful instrument to study trust in dyadic settings in and outside of the field of economics, and often in experiments [Kiyonari et al., 2006,Kuwabara, 2015,Abra- hao et al., 2017, Yamagishi et al., 2009, Resnick and Zeckhauser, 2002, Qiu et al., 2018, Merrill and Cheshire, 2017]. For example, Kuwabara found that reputation systems can reinforce trust and trustworthiness through experiments using trust games [Kuwabara, 2015]. In another experiment, it was found that reputation can overcome homophily in establishing trust, again using trust games to measure dyadic trust [Abrahao et al., 2017]. Finally, in an investigation on how bio sig- nals affect trust, trust games were used to show that elevated heartrates reduce trust [Merrill and Cheshire, 2017]. Trust within groups/organizations. While it is useful to study trust in direct exchange (dyadic trust), trust in generalized exchange is also important to under- 25 stand. One common form of generalized social exchange is through social groups or organizations. Trust within groups or organizations4 refers to trust in people in aggregate in the group or organization, as opposed to a specific individual. In particular, my work in Chapter 5 focuses on predicting trust within groups quantitatively. Work in social psychology, communication, and management science has examined trust within groups or organizations. In social psychology, trust within groups was found to stem from basic properties of the group such as its size [Brewer, 1991]. For instance, experiments have shown that people identify more strongly with smaller groups [Simon and Brown, 1987]. Trust within groups was also found to indirectly influence group task performance [Dirks and Ferrin, 2002]. In communication, trust within groups was found to correlate with rule following behaviors [Walther and Bunz, 2005]. However, trust within groups can also be fragile and temporal when the group is formed around a common task with a finite life span [Jarvenpaa and Leidner, 1999, Meyerson et al., 1996]. In management science, an important theoretical framework on organiza- tional trust was proposed by Mayer et al. in 1995, which took an integrative approach by synthesizing prior work on trust from multiple disciplines [Mayer et al., 1995, Schoorman et al., 2007]. Three dimensions of trust, ability, benevo- lence, and integrity, were proposed. Ability refers the competency or technical skills of the trustee; benevolence refers to the extent the trustee is believed to want to do good to the trustor; and integrity refers to the belief that the trustee will adhere to a set of principles that the trustor finds acceptable [Mayer et al., 4I use the term trust within groups or organizations here to distinguish better from trust in companies/platforms/government below, where the trustor is not part of the other entity. However, in Chapter 5, the term trust in groups is used to refer to trust within groups for simplicity. 26 1995]. Though originally developed in the organizational context, in my work I adapt these dimensions in a variety of settings to measure trust in surveys, including trust in platforms in Chapter 3, dyadic trust in Chapter 4, and trust within groups in Chapter 5. Using such framework, trust in management within organizations has been shown to positively relate to employee’s ability to focus attention on value-producing activities [Mayer and Gavin, 2005]. In addition, trust within teams has been found to be positively related to perceived task performance, team satisfaction, relationship commitment, and negatively related to stress and tardiness [Costa et al., 2001, Bijlsma and Koopman, 2003,Colquitt et al., 2007]. Finally, as people more commonly engage with social groups online, new opportunities arise to study trust within groups online, especially how group net- work structure relates to trust. Several studies in Human-Computer Interaction began to examine trust in social groups in social networks. In one qualitative re- search on Facebook buy-and-sell groups, trust was found to be fostered through mechanisms such as closed membership and sanctioning [Moser et al., 2017]. In addition, network density was also found to lead to higher trust in buy-and-sell groups [Holtz et al., 2017]. My work builds on existing work to understand and predict trust within Facebook groups in Chapter 5. Trust in companies/platforms/government. Another important level of trust is trust in companies, platforms, and the government. In contrast to trust within groups or organizations where the trustor is part of the group, the trustor here is not a part of the organization. Most commonly, marketing literature discusses trust in companies and brands, while political science literature discusses trust in the government. In 27 marketing, trust in brand was found to determine consumer satisfaction and loyalty, both in terms of purchase behavior and attitudes [Chaudhuri and Hol- brook, 2001, Delgado-Ballester and Luis Munuera-Alemán, 2001]. In addition, consumer trust in online commerce platforms has also received research at- tention, especially in the early 2000s when they first emerged [Corritore et al., 2001, Gefen and Straub, 2004]. In my work, Chapter 3 presents a study of trust in online commerce platforms. In political science, trust in government, or public trust, is a crucial research question especially important for the study of democ- racy [Hardin, 1999, Chanley et al., 2000]. Prominent political scientists such as Francis Fukuyama argue that public trust fosters social and economic prosper- ity [Fukuyama, 1995]. However, in past few decades, literature has tracked a steady decline of generalized trust in society [Pew, 2019, Miller, 1974, Chanley et al., 2000]. Relatedly, trust in media and news has also been on decline, espe- cially as concerns over misinformation grow [Kohring and Matthes, 2007, Gun- ther, 1988, Allcott et al., 2019, Flintham et al., 2018, Grinberg et al., 2019, Flintham et al., 2018]. Finally, as technological platforms play an increasingly important role in every aspect of people’s lives, trust, or rather, distrust in technological platforms has gained significant attention, especially in the areas of Human-Computer Interaction, Computer Supportive Collaborative Work, Science and Technology Studies, and law and policy research. In particular, distrust in social networking sites such as Facebook has brewed over the years, exacerbated by the emotional contagion study [Kramer et al., 2014], and Cambridge Analytica scandal5 [Dwyer et al., 2007, Fogel and Nehmad, 2009, Lankton and McKnight, 2011]. Opacity and bias in algorithms that are ubiquitous on digital platforms are likely to 5https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/17/us/politics/cambridge-analytica-trump- campaign.html 28 further erode trust in platforms [Barocas and Selbst, 2016, Buolamwini and Gebru, 2018, Datta et al., 2018, Bolukbasi et al., 2016, Eckhouse et al., 2019]. Taken together, the decline of public trust, trust in media and news organiza- tions, and distrust in technological platforms, are among the major challenges that the world faces around trust today. It is important for future research on trust to address these challenges. Generalized trust and individual propensity to trust. Trust in the broadest sense measures trust in other people in the society in general and in aggregate. Trust in this context is commonly referred to as “generalized trust” [Nannestad, 2008], a “propensity to trust” [Ferguson and Peterson, 2015], or a “disposition to trust” [Wu et al., 2010].6 Generalized trust is considered as a stable individual trait, similar to that of personality [Rotter, 1967]. Previous work has also studied cross-country differences in generalized trust, where social polarization in the form of income inequality and ethnic diversity was found to reduce trust [Bjørn- skov, 2007]. Therefore, it is useful as a control variable in the study of trust in other contexts. For example, in Chapter 5, generalized trust was used as a control variable in the prediction of trust within groups and was found to have significant predictive value. Exact definitions of generalized trust and individual propensity to trust are slightly different, although they are largely considered to be very similar. Gener- alized trust is usually measured with the trust question in General Social Survey (GSS) or the World Values Survey (WVS), “Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted or that you can’t be too careful in dealing with people?” Such measure has been subjected to criticism that that the interpretation 6Technically, trust in this context refers to the average level of perceived trustworthiness of others in the society. 29 of “most people” could vary widely person to person, therefore can be unreli- able with stochastic errors [Nannestad, 2008]. In addition, generalized trust has been shown to have little predictive power when it comes to specific individual behaviors in games that involve trust [Glaeser et al., 2000]. On the other hand, individual propensity to trust has followed a psychometric tradition, measured with instruments such as the Rotter Interpersonal Trust Scale (ITS) [Rotter, 1967]. The 25 agree/disagree items in ITS ask about perceived trustworthiness across a variety of different roles in society, and take the average of the responses as the trust composite score. These agree/disagree items include “Parents can usually be relied upon to keep their promises.”, “Most elected public officials are really sincere in their campaign promises”, etc. One line of work suggests that individual propensity to trust is rooted in life experiences and societal norms [Rotter, 1971,Bowlby, 1969,Ainsworth et al., 2015]. Propensity to trust is considered as an important variable in the development of healthy family relationships and personalities in children [Rotter, 1967] It has also been associated with being older, married, having higher family income and college education and living in a rural area, but not with gender [Taylor et al., 2007, Paxton, 2007]. A propensity to trust is also related to other personal traits, such as risk-taking [Cook et al., 2005], feelings of social support, and group loyalty [Barrera Jr and Ainlay, 1983, Van Vugt and Hart, 2004]. A multilevel perspective. As reviewed above, when we talk about trust, it can refer to trust in entities across different levels of abstractions. Different levels of abstractions, as well as different traditions and language of disciplines created challenges for trust research. To get a holistic view of trust, it is important to synthesize various viewpoints and examine how trust at different levels of 30 Figure 2.4: The integrative organizational trust model proposed by Mayer et al. 1995 abstractions interact with each other. For example, how does trust in platforms affects trust in information shared by another person? Mayer et al. 1995 proposed an integrative approach to study trust, which has been highly impactful [Mayer et al., 1995]. In particular, as shown in Figure 2.4, Mayer et al. emphasized how individual propensity to trust can mediate the relationship between impressions of perceived trustworthiness and the decision to trust. At the same time, with increasing digital mediation in our social exchange, the integrative model proposed by Mayer et al. needs further development. Interpersonal exchange takes place embedded in social networks (e.g., Facebook, LinkedIn, etc.). In addition, increasing algorithmic mediation in online platforms is also not accounted for in Mayer et al.’s model. A new framework is needed to address the challenges in trust brought by social networks and algorithmic 31 mediation. To do so, in Section 2.3, I develop a framework of “networked trust” to incorporate these new factors in digitalized exchange. 2.2.2 Methodological Note on Measuring Trust When developing new research projects on trust, deciding how to measure trust is often challenging. Here I offer a brief methodological note on the measurement of trust to facilitate future research. There are mainly three ways that prior literature used to measure trust: (1) surveys; (2) real-world behavior proxies; and (3) lab-based trust games. Each method has strengths and weaknesses, which we discuss briefly below. Surveys are among the most widely used instrument to measure trust. We can use surveys to ask the willingness for the trustor to make a trust decision, though usually in a hypothetical setup. For example, Chapter 4 used a survey-based experiment to ask about the decision to stay with a particular host on Airbnb. In another example, Kizilcec used a questionnaire to study how transparency of an algorithm affects trust [Kizilcec, 2016]. However, such measures of trust have limited construct validity, as self-report answers in hypothetical decision-making scenarios can be unreliable. On the other hand, surveys can also measure perceived trustworthiness, which is a subjective assessment and an internal state of the trustor. The World Values Survey has a few survey questions tracking generalized trust (perceived trustworthiness of other people in society) since the 1970s across different coun- tries. One of the most well-known survey question on trust is: “Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be trusted or that you need to be 32 very careful in dealing with people?” [WVS, 2018]. Respondents can choose one of the options between “Most people can be trusted”, “Need to be very careful”, and “Don´t know”. This measure and its variations have also been widely used in political science. For example, surveys on political trust ask “How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right?” [Miller, 1974]. Finally, reputation systems can be broadly considered as a survey-based method to establish a proxy measure for trustworthy behaviors. After an ex- change has taken place, a survey is issued to exchange partners, asking them to provide feedback and rating towards each other. Then the reputation system aggregates the feedback and ratings and displays them for future interactions. It is important to note that reputation systems have inherent limitations such as bias (racial bias, selection bias, and positivity bias), and are often subject to problems including fake reviews and cold start [Fradkin et al., 2015, Resnick and Zeckhauser, 2002, Zervas et al., 2015, Ott et al., 2011]. A more detailed review of prior work on reputation systems can be found in Section 2.3. Real-world behavior proxies have higher construct validity in measuring trust compared to survey-based method. For example, when someone decides to fund a crowdsourcing campaign [Mitra and Gilbert, 2014], we can consider the decision or behavior to fund as trust in-situ. Such behavior proxies are becoming increasingly available on digital platforms, such as the decision to meet someone offline through online dating platforms, the decision to book an Airbnb, the decision to purchase something online, etc. These behavior proxy measures are being used in trust research to show the impact of trust on real-world outcomes at scale. Abrahao et al. used actual Airbnb behavior data to validate findings 33 about reputation and trust [Abrahao et al., 2017]. In this dissertation, real-world behavior proxies have also been an important part of research findings — the work presented in Chapter 3 leveraged eBay sales data, and the work presented in Chapter 5 leveraged Facebook groups behavioral data [Ma et al., 2019a] such as group densification (a behavior proxy for the decision to trust). At the same time, behavior proxies can be valuable for addressing problems of bias in online marketplaces and reputation systems. When people make decisions about trust, they rely on information that is available to them to assess the perceived trustworthiness of another party. Bias exists when people make up such impressions (more details on bias are available in Section 2.4). As digital platforms accumulate data about the actual behavior of the trustee (e.g., whether a loan is repaid), behavior proxy data can be used to assess the actual trustworthiness of the trustee, reflecting ground truth rather than impressions. According to signaling theory [Donath, 2007], behavior proxies can be considered as “assessment signals” (something inherent to the signal itself connects it to the quality it indicates) as opposed to “conventional signals” (something not inherently reliable, but are kept so through conventions). There are opportunities to make behavior proxy data available to help address the bias problem in online marketplaces. For example, tracking and displaying the real response time of an Airbnb host, or a business on Facebook messenger can establish trust in the true level of responsiveness, rather than claims. However, assessing the trustworthiness through behavior proxy also faces challenges. By definition, trustworthiness can only be measured after an inter- action has taken place, while the decision to trust has to be made before the interaction. Sometimes, long periods of time pass before we learn the true behav- 34 ior of the trustee. For example, in the case of funding startups, it may take at least a few years before the investors learn about the true level of trustworthiness of the team being funded. Second, there is no guarantee that future trustworthiness will be consistent with prior behavior (e.g., Ponzi scheme). Repeated measures can be one way to gain more confidence that the trustee will behave consistently to our assessment. But due to limitations in time, repeated measures can be chal- lenging to obtain. Finally, behavior proxy can be hard to collect or interpret when lacking contextual knowledge. For example, in the case of Airbnb, it is very hard to collect data about the actual condition of the listing, or about whether there are hazards such as hidden cameras inside the listings. In the case of Uber, when the GPS data shows that the driver took a wrong route, is it because the driver is not responsible, due to unpredictable conditions on the road and the driver is reacting responsibly? As such, finding better behavior proxies to measure trust remains future work. Lab-based trust games are another important instrument to measure trust. Although the work presented in this dissertation relies mostly on surveys and behavior proxies to measure trust, trust games can be useful in studying how certain factors affect trust. Trust games are economic games designed to abstract risks and rewards in real-world exchanges to allow for more controlled study of trust, commonly in experimental setups. By abstracting contextual risks into numerical payoffs, all measures of trust can be reduced to a numerical based decision — making it easy to compare across conditions. Specifically, the original trust game was developed by Berg in 1995 — an investment game that uses the amount of investment to denote the level of trust in the participant’s partner [Berg et al., 1995]. The setup of the trust game is 35 collaboration through risk taking: One participant is given a certain amount of money and can choose an amount between zero and the total amount to give to the partner in the experiment (measures trust). The experimenter will triple the amount that is sent to the other participant, and the other participant can decide how much between zero and the total endowed amount to send back to the first participant (measures trustworthiness). The more one trusts the partner, the more amount in the beginning one should sent, as both parties together achieve maximum reward that way. However, the risk of the second participant not returning any amount makes it a prerequisite for the first participant to have trust. Results show that trust indeed exists. In one of the conditions, the first participant sent on average $5.36 out of $10, and the other participant returned on average $6.46 out of $15 endowed. Many subsequent research adopted trust games. For example, Kiyonari et al. found that trust does not beget trustworthiness in one-shot games [Kiyonari et al., 2006]. Abrahao et al. used trust games to study the relationship between homophily, reputation and trust [Abrahao et al., 2017]. Finally, Glaeser et al. measured trust and trustworthiness using both the survey-based method, as well as trust games, and found that standard attitudinal survey questions about trust predicts trustworthy behavior in trust games much better than they predict trusting behavior [Glaeser et al., 2000]. However, there are also key limitations to using trust games to measure trust. For example, according to a meta-analysis of 162 trust games across 35 countries [Johnson and Mislin, 2011], behavior in trust games is sensitive to the specific setup of the game. Factors such as the multiplier set by the experimenter, whether the play is with a simulated counterpart, or whether subjects play both roles in the experiment all affect trust. 36 2.3 Online Trust and Networked Trust A big focus of this dissertation is to address new questions about trust that arise as a result of the digitalization of exchange. In this section, I first review prior work on online trust, primarily focusing profiles and reputation systems. Then, I briefly trace different waves of the digitalization of exchange and how they affect social structure. Finally, I propose the framework of “networked trust” to reason about trust in the increasingly connected age, with three focuses: cues, networks, and algorithms. 2.3.1 Online Trust Online trust is not an entirely new phenomenon — work since early 2000s primarily focused on how two mechanisms produce online trust: (1) profiles; (2) reputation systems. Profiles are an important part of many online systems [Uski and Lampinen, 2014]. Due to the computer-mediated nature of online systems, profiles provide an identity for users that persists over time and the myriad of interactions on the site [boyd and Ellison, 2007]. In online dating sites, profiles provide self- disclosure that attracts interests of other users, while limiting the risks associated with outright deception [Gibbs et al., 2010, Toma et al., 2008]. One way to understand how profiles establish trustworthiness is the Profile as Promise framework [Ellison and Hancock, 2013]. Profile as Promise uses the notion of a promise to characterize the function of a profile. In this view, the 37 profile is a psychological contract between the profile holder, and the viewer that future interactions (e.g. with a date, a car driver, or an Airbnb host) will take place with someone who does not differ fundamentally from the person represented in the profile. The notion of a promise has been successfully applied to various contexts that require good faith to operate, including online dating [Ellison and Hancock, 2013] and job hunting [Rousseau and Greller, 1994]. Reputation systems represent another well studied mechanism for online trust. A cornucopia of work on reputation systems, focused on reputation in online commerce platforms, showed the usefulness as well as the limitations of this mechanism in establishing online trust [Jøsang et al., 2007]. At its core, reputation systems provide aggregated information about the trustworthiness of potential exchange partners based on how they have behaved in the past. However, selection bias and positivity bias in reputation systems limit the accuracy and usefulness of reputation systems. Past research on reputation systems has focused on how reputation systems change people’s behavior and their limitations. In terms of how reputation systems change people’s behavior, Resnick et al. are among the firsts to study trust and reputation systems [Resnick et al., 2000, Resnick and Zeckhauser, 2002, Resnick et al., 2006]. Through a controlled field experiment, Resnick et al. found sellers with a strong reputation receive a price premium reflecting higher trust on eBay [Resnick et al., 2006]. Kuwabara found that reputation systems can reinforce generalized trust and trustworthiness — recalling one’s reputation on eBay made participants behave more trustworthily in the relevant roles [Kuwabara, 2015]. Yamagishi et al. conducted online trading 38 experiments to see how reputation systems can solve the “lemons problem” for online marketplaces by encouraging more trustworthy behavior [Cook et al., 2009]. A most recent experiment using Airbnb users as participants showed that reputation systems can increase trust between dissimilar users, hence mitigating bias created by homophily [Abrahao et al., 2017]. In terms of the limitations of reputation systems, through empirical analysis on eBay, Resnick et al. found that while only half of the buyers provide feedback (selection bias), the overwhelming majority of feedback is positive (positivity bias) [Resnick and Zeckhauser, 2002]. Similar selection bias and positivity bias were observed on Airbnb [Fradkin et al., 2015,Zervas et al., 2015] and freelancing marketplace oDesk [Filippas et al., 2018]. Non-reviewers on Airbnb were found to have worse experiences than reviewers [Fradkin et al., 2015]. As a result, “every stay is above average” on Airbnb [Zervas et al., 2015] — nearly 95% of Airbnb properties boast an average user-generated rating of either 4.5 or 5 stars (the maximum). In addition to selection bias and positivity bias, reputation systems are also vulnerable to fake reviews. There is an arms race between computational fake review detection and generation. In 2011, simple linguistic features such as n-grams and LIWC features [Pennebaker et al., 2001] were sufficient to detect fake reviews generated by humans [Ott et al., 2011]. In 2017, with advancements in deep learning, AI can generate fake Yelp reviews that are “not only evade human detection, but also score high on ‘usefulness’ metrics by users” [Yao et al., 2017b]. Finally, reputation systems suffer from the cold start problem, which refers to the fact that there are no reviews when systems initialize [Tavakolifard and Almeroth, 2012]. 39 2.3.2 Networked Trust Although online trust is not a totally new phenomenon, new challenges continue to arise as digitalized exchange platforms evolve. There is a narrative that there has been an decline in trust in the past few decades, especially trust in the government [Pew, 2019, Miller, 1974, Chanley et al., 2000]. According to a 2019 survey by Pew Research Center, public trust in the government remains near historic lows. “Only 17% of Americans today say they can trust the government in Washington to do what is right ‘just about always’ (3%) or ‘most of the time’ (14%).” [Pew, 2019]. However, at the same time, people engage in social exchange that require high levels of trust at scale — interactions that were totally unimaginable just a few years back (e.g., staying at strangers’ homes in the case of Airbnb). At the same time, even though traditional community-based organizations have seen decline in memberships (e.g., bowling leagues [Putnam, 1995]), online communities have exploded [Kraut and Resnick, 2012, Adamic et al., 2008, Zhang et al., 2007, Lampe et al., 2006]. Therefore, it is not informative to simply discuss whether there has been a “decrease” or “increase” in trust in the society, but rather, how trust structurally shifts from centralized institutions towards trust in networked environments. In my view, fundamental changes to trust, driven by the digitalization of exchange, took place in three waves. (1) the digitization of the exchange of goods (e.g., Amazon, eBay); (2) the digitization of social relationships (e.g., Face- book, Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram); and (3) the digitalization of the exchange of resources through sharing economy platforms (e.g., Airbnb, Uber, Lyft). In the first wave, people have to trust each other primarily with their financial resources. Mechanisms to reduce risks, such as third-party payment systems and 40 reputation systems have overall successfully addressed the trust problem. New questions are still being raised, though, as online commerce platforms move towards more mobile-based where user-generated content play a more important role in establishing trust. In the second wave, people have to trust others with their personal information. The social nature of these online platforms, primarily social network sites (SNSs), means that profiles play a central role in establishing trust. As people rely on on- line profiles rather than signals that are available in face-to-face communications, there are a lot of questions about how cues in Computer-Mediated Communica- tion (CMC) establish trust. At the same time, through SNSs, people are able to maintain more weak ties, leading to “networked individualism”. We shift away from small, isolated, and tightly-knit groups to networked individuals [Rainie and Wellman, 2012, Granovetter, 1973]. At the same time, because SNSs make social relationships visible and data available, network analysis can reveal how network structures regulate information cascade [Cheng et al., 2014] and predict social and economic outcomes [Easley et al., 2010, Backstrom et al., 2006]. In the third wave, people have to trust others not only with their financial resources, personal information, but also physical safety. The wide adoption of sharing economy platforms is a relatively recent phenomenon, and they blur the line of social and economic exchange [Hamari et al., 2016, Ikkala and Lampinen, 2015, Lampinen and Cheshire, 2016]. Both profiles and reputation systems play an important role in establishing trust in sharing economy. Compared to SNSs, sharing economy platforms may involve higher risks (physical safety). At the same time, people tap into the benefits of conducting exchange with strangers on sharing economy platforms, rather than with their social ties, weak or strong. 41 Therefore, self-disclosure may be even more important to establish initial trust that is required for interactions on sharing economy platforms. In addition to these three waves of the digitalization of exchange, another factor is playing an increasingly important role in mediating social exchanges — algorithms. Online platforms deploy algorithms through personalization and recommendation systems to optimize for specific engagement goals, and these algorithms affect how people interact and trust each other. For example, algorithms can match people in online dating sites [Hutson et al., 2018], curate what people see and impact how they make sense of social relationships on Facebook news feed [Eslami et al., 2015], and select to hide or display specific Yelp reviews [Eslami et al., 2019]. Algorithmic mediation creates more uncertainty in social exchange, potentially hindering interpersonal trust. In short, the three waves of digitalization of exchange and the increasing algorithmic mediation create new questions about trust and call for a new way of thinking and reasoning about trust going forward. Networked trust is such framework for thinking about trust online going forward. Borrowing from the term of “networked individualism” that describes the drastic shift in social structure brought by digital platforms [Rainie and Wellman, 2012], “networked trust” describes interpersonal trust in digitalized social exchange where cues, networks, and algorithms play important roles. Networked trust has three focuses: (1) cues in Computer-Mediated Communi- cation; (2) embeddedness in social networks; and (3) increasing mediation by algorithms. First, cues in Computer-Mediated Communication refers to interpersonal 42 trust where the initial social exchange takes place online and not face-to-face, following the rules of Computer-Mediated Communication. This aspect of networked trust is relatively well established, as I reviewed before in Section 2.3.1 on online trust. Two chapters of this dissertation, Chapter 3 and Chapter 4 expand on the focus on cues in networked trust — analyzing image and language cues at scale in commerce and sharing economy platforms respectively. The second focus of networked trust, embeddedness in social networks, refers to the fact that our social exchange is embedded in social networks. For example, on LinkedIn, when users view another person’s profile, LinkedIn can reveal to users information of the network, such as how two people are connected or who their common connections are. Chapter 5 expands on the networks focus of networked trust, using the context of Facebook groups. Finally, the third focus of networked trust, increasing mediation by algo- rithms, refers to the increasing control by algorithms on how and with whom we conduct exchange with. This focus is still a nascent area of research, closely related to the ongoing research on the issues of algorithmic fairness, accountabil- ity, and transparency (FAT*). In Chapter 6, I discuss future work that focuses on understanding how algorithms mediate exchange and impact interpersonal trust. 2.4 Bias and Distrust In the last section of the chapter, I review literature on the flip side of trust — bias and distrust. As the process of forming trust is usually subjective, bias is closely related to trust. This section reviews work demonstrating four different 43 types of biases, including racial, gender, status, and algorithmic bias. Given the vast amount of literature on bias, I do not attempt to provide a comprehensive review but rather focus on studies on marketplaces or closely related to trust. Racial bias. Research has observed racial bias in labor markets through a field experiment manipulating names on resumes [Lavergne and Mullainathan, 2004]. In the study, for resumes with similar credentials, white sounding names received 50 percent more callbacks for interviews than African-American sound- ing names across occupation, industry, and employer size. Racial bias is also observed on Airbnb through a field experiment by manipulating names in online profiles [Edelman et al., 2017]. Booking requests from guests with distinctively African-American names are roughly 16% less likely to be accepted than identical guests with distinctively white names. In addition to names, visual information can also lead to racial bias online. One experiment showed that photos in online marketplaces with a dark-skinned hand holding the product lead to fewer and lower offers than photos with a light-skinned hand, indicating lower trust [Doleac and Stein, 2013]. Finally, in freelance marketplaces such as TaskRabbit, black workers receive significantly fewer reviews and worse ratings [Hannak et al., 2017]. Gender bias. One of the most prominent gender bias in marketplaces is the gender pay gap in labor markets. Women roughly earn 80 cents on average for each dollar earned by men in the labor market [Blau and Kahn, 2007,Dubey et al., 2017,Chamberlain, 2016]. Women sellers on eBay also receive less bids and lower final prices in auctions compared to men counterparts [Kricheli-Katz and Regev, 2016]. 44 Representation and participation bias are also present in gender. In 2012, Vasilescu et al. provided empirical evidence showing that women on StackOver- flow represent the minority of contributors and they participated less and earn less reputation [Vasilescu et al., 2012]. Similar gender representation gap was reported in editors of Wikipedia — a survey in 2010 found that fewer than 13% of Wikipedia contributors were women [Antin et al., 2011]. Status bias. Bias with regard to socio-economic status has been observed on sharing economy platforms. Research found that sharing economy is sig- nificantly more effective in dense, high socio-economic status areas than in low-socio-economic status areas [Thebault-Spieker et al., 2017]. For example, lower socio-economic status areas have higher wait times on Uber; and workers on TaskRabbit are less willing to travel to low socio-economic status areas for work and charge higher prices in those neighborhoods [Thebault-Spieker et al., 2017]. Status bias can also be context-induced. Contextual status can be induced by power imbalance in specific situations. For example, in the context of Couchsurf- ing, hosts have higher status compared to guests because the hosts provide free lodging for the guests. As a result, contextual status differences arise, and hosts receive higher ratings than guests in the same interactions, potentially due to the mechanism of status-giving in power dependence theory [State et al., 2016]. Algorithmic bias. The last type of bias has only recently begun to be better understood — algorithmic bias. In the 2016 paper, Big Data’s Disparate Impact, Barocas and Selbst laid out how data mining can exhibit discrimination that can be unintentional and hard to understand. As a result, current law and tech- niques are inadequate in identifying and regulating the problem of algorithmic 45 bias [Barocas and Selbst, 2016]. Recent literature uncovers subtle racial and gender biases exhibited by algo- rithms [Buolamwini and Gebru, 2018,Datta et al., 2018,Bolukbasi et al., 2016,Eck- house et al., 2019]. For example, an audit of two standard benchmark facial recognition datasets and three commercial systems revealed that the datasets are overwhelmingly composed of lighter-skinned subjects and the commercial systems have much higher rate of error for darker-skinned females than lighter- skinned men (34.7% v.s. 0.8%) [Buolamwini and Gebru, 2018]. Bolukbasi et al. also showed that word embeddings, a popular technique in natural language processing, could exhibit gender stereotypes such as associating “receptionist” to “female” [Bolukbasi et al., 2016]. Algorithmic bias raises the question: how might algorithmic bias affect trust? Work in transparency and interpretability of machine learning examines bias and trust in algorithms [Miller, 2018, Kizilcec, 2016, Eslami et al., 2015, Eslami et al., 2019]. Another line of research is policy-driven [Levy and Barocas, 2017, Hutson et al., 2018], outlining design and policy choices for platforms to make themselves less conducive to discrimination by users to gain user trust. At the same time, algorithmic bias might hinder interpersonal trust when the algorithms are crucial in mediating social exchange relationships. 2.5 Summary Gambetta once wrote: “The importance of trust pervades the most diverse situations where 46 cooperation is at one and the same time a vital and a fragile com- modity: from marriage to economic development, from buying a second-hand car to international affairs, from the minutiae of social life to the continuation of life on earth.” [Gambetta, 1988] In this chapter, I reviewed prior work across many disciplines on trust in “diverse situations”. By anchoring the definition of trust in social exchange theory, the work presented in the rest of the dissertation focuses on addressing new questions that the digitalization of exchange brings. Literature on different levels of trust was reviewed, including trust at the individual level, trust in groups, trust in platforms, trust in organizations, and trust at societal level. Finally, the framework of “networked trust” was proposed, which has three focuses: (1) cues in Computer-Mediated Communication; (2) embeddedness in social networks; and (3) increasing mediation by algorithms. As trust is a subjective process, we need to caution against biases, especially the ways that racial, gender, status, and socio-economic biases can manifest subtly in algorithms that mediate social exchange relationships. 47 CHAPTER 3 IMAGES OF TRUST: UNDERSTANDING IMAGE QUALITY AND TRUST IN PEER-TO-PEER MARKETPLACES 3.1 Introduction In this chapter and the chapter that follows, I present two case studies that focus on the first focus of networked trust: trust in interactions where cues in Computer-Mediated Communication play an important role. Specifically, this chapter explores how image cues establish trust in the con- text of second-hand peer-to-peer online marketplaces. As mentioned in Chap- ter 2, online marketplaces represent the first wave of the digitalization of social exchange, the digitization of the exchange of goods. Trust in the context of online marketplaces was the earliest focus of the discussion on online trust. Reputation systems were pioneered first in online marketplaces to facilitate online trust and research has discussed their benefits and limitations [Resnick et al., 2000, Resnick and Zeckhauser, 2002, Resnick et al., 2006, Cook et al., 2009]. However, as online commerce platforms continue to evolve and new tech- nologies emerge, new challenges and opportunities about understanding trust on online commerce platforms arise. Increasingly, these platforms are becoming mobile-based, where user-generated images play an ever increasingly important role, compared to stock imagery. Although earlier work has studied the role of images in online marketplaces computationally [Goswami et al., 2011, Chung et al., 2012], user-generated images are less well understood. At the same time, advancements in computer vision (e.g., deep learning) present new opportunities 48 to understand image cues with more advanced techniques. This chapter leverages such opportunities brought by advancements in com- puter vision to present a study on how user-generated images establish trust in second-hand peer-to-peer marketplaces.1 Trust here is discussed in the context of trust in platforms, and was measured with a survey. The survey asked about the perceived trustworthiness in hypothetical marketplaces where images vary. At its core, images are representations of the products to be exchanged online. Since it is impractical for a customer to inspect an item in person before purchas- ing it, images are very useful to establish trust by setting expectations, reducing uncertainty, and limiting information asymmetry in online marketplaces [Ak- erlof, 1978]. “Good” product images achieve the goals of expectation setting and uncertainty reduction effectively, and are likely to be successful in facilitating exchange. Traditionally, stock images are considered as the gold standard for “good” images in online marketplaces, which are usually shot in professional studios with high-end equipment. They present the products in the best possible light, so to speak. At the same time, as mobile-based peer-to-peer marketplaces such as LetGo.com and Facebook Marketplace gain popularity, the definition of “good” images may have evolved. These mobile-based applications enable easy listing process: users can quickly snap a picture with their phone, type in a short de- scription, and instantly post their offerings. The peer-to-peer nature of these marketplaces also mean that sellers are often non-professionals, who either lack 1This work was published at WACV 2019 as Understanding Image Quality and Trust in Peer-to- Peer Marketplaces [Ma et al., 2019b]. 49 the expertise or motivation to provide a stock image style picture. As a result, peer-to-peer marketplaces today often contain images of mixed-quality that are user-generated rather than stock images. In this context, it is important to understand how mixed-quality user- generated images establish trust. Specifically, I ask the following questions: Is it possible to have a definition of “good” user-generated product images that human raters agree on reliability? In addition, is it possible to computationally tell “good” and “bad” images apart accurately? And finally, how does image quality affect market outcomes, especially trust and sales? The rest of the chapter addresses these questions. Specifically, this chapter makes the following contributions. Annotating image quality. We curated a dataset of user-generated images of two common second-hand products (≈75,000 images). Then an annotating process was iteratively developed and we show that human raters can provide reliable judgements on on image quality under this process. We further annotated a third of the collected data with human-labeled quality judgment. Modeling and predicting image quality. Previous work studied general photo aesthetics, but we show existing models do not completely capture im- age quality in the context of online marketplaces. In this work, we used both black-box neural networks and interpretable regression techniques to model and predict image quality (how appealing the product image appears to customers). For the regression-based approach, we model the factors of the photographic environment that influence quality with handcrafted features, which can guide potential sellers to take better pictures. As a result, we developed a better 50 “I believe that products from these sellers will meet my expectations when delivered.” Tr Agree 4 ust Gap! 3.75 3.5 3.25 Poor Quality High Quality Stock Images (Predicted) (Predicted) Neutral 3 Figure 3.1: We study the interplay between image quality, marketplace outcomes, and user trust in peer-to-peer online marketplaces. Here, we show how image quality (as measured by a deep- learned CNN model) correlates with user trust. User studies in Sec. 3.6.2 show that high quality images selected by our model out-performs stock-imagery in eliciting user trust. understanding of how visual features impact image quality, while training a convolutional network to predict image quality with decent accuracy (≈87%). Marketplace outcomes: sales and perceived trustworthiness. Using our learned quality model, we then showed that image quality scores are associated with two different group outcomes: sales and perceived trustworthiness. Pre- dicted image quality was associated with higher likelihood that an item is sold, while high quality user-generated images selected by our model out-performs 51 Agreement Figure 3.2: Samples of lowest-rated and highest-rated images from shoes and handbags groundtruth. stock imagery in eliciting perceived trust from users (see Figure 3.1). Our find- ings can be valuable for designing better online marketplaces, or to help sellers with less photographic experience take better product images. 3.2 Related Work Image quality in online marketplaces. Previous work has shown that image- based features such as brightness, contrast, and background lightness con- tribute to the prediction of click-through rate (CTR) in the context of product search [Goswami et al., 2011, Chung et al., 2012]. This line of work used hand- crafted image features, but did not actually assess the image quality as dependent variable. In another work on eCommerce, image quality was modelled and pre- dicted through linear regression, and shown to be significant predictors of buyer interest [Di et al., 2014]. However, the dataset is not available, nor any details on the modelling methodology or model performance. Our work fills this gap by contributing a large annotated image quality dataset, along with improved model performance. Automatic assessment of aesthetics. Another line of closely related work is 52 automatically assessing the aesthetic quality of images. Early work on aesthetic quality frequently used handcrafted features [Datta et al., 2006, Li et al., 2010, Bhattacharya et al., 2010]. More recent work focused on AVA (A Large-Scale Database for Aesthetic Visual Analysis), a large-scale dataset containing 250,000 images with aesthetic ratings [Murray et al., 2012] and adapting deep learning features [Lu et al., 2014] to improve prediction accuracy. In addition, aesthetics quality has been shown to predict the performance of images in the context of photography, increasing the likelihood that a picture will receive “likes” or “favorites” [Schwarz et al., 2016]. Although aesthetic quality is a fundamental and important feature of imagery, images online marketplaces belong to another visual domain compared to most of the images in this line of work. We show that aesthetic quality models do not completely capture product image quality. Web aesthetics and trust. A large body of work in human computer inter- action has investigated the link between the marketplace website’s aesthetics and perceived credibility. For example, previous work has shown low level statistics such as balance and symmetry correlate with aesthetics [Zheng et al., 2009, Michailidou et al., 2008]. More recently, computational models have been developed to capture visual complexity and colorfulness of website screenshots to predict aesthetic appeal [Reinecke et al., 2013]. However, since product images take up majority of the space in online marketplaces, inadequate attention has been paid to how the image quality, rather than interface quality, impact user trust. Our work focuses on product images as the most salient visual element of online marketplaces to study how they contribute to user trust. Our work is concerned with user trust. Perceptions of user trust is important for several reasons: trust influences loyalty, purchase intentions [Hong and Cho, 53 2011], retention [Sun, 2010], and is important for the platform’s initial adoption and growth [Choi and Mai, 2018]. This is why we take a “social science” approach when soliciting trust judgments in Sec. 3.6.2. Domain adaption: matching street photos to stock photos. One might won- der why marketplaces do not simply retrieve the stock photo of the product being depicted and display it instead. There are some problems with this ap- proach. First, in used goods markets, stock photos do not depict the actual item being sold and are generally discouraged [Bland et al., 2007]. Second, stock image retrieval is a computationally challenging task, with state-of-the-art meth- ods [Wang et al., 2016] achieving around 40% top-20 retrieval accuracy on the Street2Shop [Kiapour et al., 2015] dataset. Our work also contributes to the dataset of “street” photos taken by different users using a variety of mobile devices in varying lighting conditions and backgrounds. 3.3 Datasets As shown in previous work [Di et al., 2014], image quality matters more for product categories that are inherently more visual (e.g., clothing). Thus, in our development of the dataset, we focus on the shoes and handbags categories. These two categories are among the most popular goods found on secondhand marketplaces and are visually distinctive enough to pose an interesting computer vision challenge. There are two sources for the data used in this work: LetGo.com, and eBay. We focused on the publicly available LetGo.com images for creating the hand- annotation dataset, and used private data from eBay to test the relationship 54 between image quality and marketplace outcome — sales. 3.3.1 LetGo.com LetGo.com is a mobile-based peer-to-peer marketplace for used items, similar to Craigslist. Potential buyers can browse through the “listings” made by sellers and contact the seller to complete the transaction out of the platform. We collected product images data for two product categories, shoes and hand- bags. We crawled the front page of LetGo.com every ten to thirty minutes for a month, filtering the listings by relevant keywords in the product listing caption. For shoes, we used the keywords “shoe,” “sandal,” “boot,” or “sneaker” and collected data between November to December 2017 (66,752 listings containing 133,783 images in total). For handbags, we used the keywords “purse” or “hand- bag’ and collected data between April to May 2018 (29,839 listings containing 44,725 images in total). 3.3.2 eBay To understand whether image quality impacts real world outcomes, we partnered with eBay, one of the largest online marketplaces. We collected data for listings on eBay in our two product categories, shoes and handbags, including the product images, meta-data associated with the listing, as well as whether the listing had at least one sales completed before becoming expired. We sampled data based on the date on which the listing expired (during 55 May 2018). We also down-sampled the available listings to create a balanced set of sold and unsold listings. In summary, this dataset included 66,000 sold and 66,000 unsold listings for shoes, and 16,000 sold and 16,000 unsold listings for handbags. To evaluate our model’s generalizability in a real-world setting, we train models on publicly available LetGo.com data and test the relationship between predicted image quality and sales on eBay. 3.4 Annotating Image Quality We collected ground truth image quality labels for our LetGo.com dataset (LetGo below) using a crowdsourcing approach. We designed the following task and issued it on Amazon Mechanical Turk, paying $0.8 per task. Each task contained 50 LetGo images randomly batched, and at least 3 workers rated each image. For each image, the worker was asked to rate the image quality on a scale between 1 (not appealing) to 5 (appealing). In total, we annotated 12,515 images from the shoes category and 12,222 from the handbags category. Only LetGo data was used for this task. An important consideration is the difference between product quality and photographic quality. In this survey, we are primarily interested in what the merchant can do to make their listings more appealing, so it is important that workers ignore perceived product differences. To help prime our workers along this line of thinking, we added two text survey questions spaced throughout each task with the following prompt: “Suppose your friend is using this photo to sell their shoes. What advice would you give them to make it a better picture? How can 56 Standardized score distributions Handbags 5000 2500 0 2 0 2 0 5000 Shoes 5000 2500 0 2 0 2 0 Negative Neutral Positive Scores Figure 3.3: Left: standardized score distributions for filtered images on shoes and handbags categories. Right: final ground truth labels, showing a fairly even distribution. the seller improve this photo?” This task also slows workers down and forces them to carefully consider their choices. After collecting the data, we first standardized each worker’s score distribu- tion to zero mean and unit variance to account for task subjectivity and individual rater preference. Then, we filtered out images where the standard deviation of all rater scores was within the top 40%, retaining 60% of the original dataset. This removed images where annotators strongly disagree. This filtering also im- proved the inter-rater agreement as measured by an average pairwise Pearson’s ρ correlation across each rater from 0.34 ± 0.0046 on the unfiltered shoes data to 0.70 ± 0.0031 on the filtered shoes data. This shows our labeling mechanism can reliably filter images with low annotation agreement. Finally, we discretized the scores into three image quality labels: good, neutral and bad. To do this, we rounded the average score to the nearest integer, and took the positive ones as good, zeros as neutral, and negative ones as bad. The resulting shoes and handbags datasets are roughly balanced; see score distributions in Figure 3.3 and example images in Figure 3.2. 57 Frequency Frequency 3.5 Modeling Image Quality After collecting ground truth for our dataset, we study what factors of an image can influence perceived quality. This turns out to be nontrivial. Shopping behavior is complicated, and customers and crowd workers alike may have intricate preferences, behaviors, and constraints. We attempt to model image quality in two ways: first, we train a deep-learned CNN to predict ground truth labels. This model is fairly accurate, allowing us to approximate image quality on the rest of our dataset, but as a “black box” model it is largely uninterpretable, meaning it does not reveal what high-level image factors lead to high image quality. Second, to understand quality at an interpretable level, we then use multiple ordered logistic regression to predict the dense quality scores. This lets us draw conclusions about what photographic aspects lead to perceived image quality. Prediction. For our model, we use the pretrained Inception v3 network ar- chitecture [Szegedy et al., 2016] provided by PyTorch [Paszke et al., 2017]. Our task is 3-way classification: given a product image, the model predicts one of {0,1,2} for bad, neutral, and good respectively. To do this, we remove the last fully-connected layer and replace it with a linear map down to 3 output dimensions. Image quality measurements are subjective. Even though our crowdsourcing worker normalization filters data where workers disagree, we want to allow the model to learn some notion of uncertainty. To do this, we train using label smoothing, described in § 7.5 of [Goodfellow et al., 2016]. We modify the negative log likelihood loss as follows. Given a single input image, let xi for i ∈ {0,1,2} be 58 the three raw output scores (logits) from the model and let x̂i = logexpxi/∑ j expx j be the output log-probabilities after softmax. To predict class c ∈ {0,1,2}, we use a modified label smoothing loss, `(x,c) =−(1−ε)x̂c−ε ∑i6=c x̂i for some smoothing parameter ε , usually set to 0.05 in our experiments. This modified loss function avoids penalizing the network too much for incorrect classifications that are overly confident. These models were fine-tuned on our LetGo dataset for 20 epochs (shoes: N=12,515; handbags: N=12,222). We opted not to use a learning rate schedule due to the small amount of data. Aesthetic quality baseline. We also considered a baseline aesthetic qual- ity prediction task to test whether existing models that capture photographic aesthetics can generalize to predict product image quality. We fine-tuned an Inception v3 network on the AVA Dataset [Murray et al., 2012]. To transform predictions into outputs suited to our dataset, we binned the mean aesthetic annotation score from AVA into positive, neutral, and negative labels. The model was fine-tuned on AVA for 5 epochs. Evaluation. We used a binary “forced-choice” accuracy metric: starting from a held-out set of positive and negative examples, we considered the network output to be positive if x2>x0, effectively forcing the network to decide whether the positive elements outweigh the negative ones, removing the neutral output. By this metric, our best shoes model achieved 84.34% accuracy and our best handbag model achieved 89.53%. This indicates that our model has a reasonable chance of agreeing with crowd workers about the overall quality sentiment of a listing image. (If we include neutral images and predictions and simply compare the 3-way predicted output to the ground truth label on the entire evaluation 59 set, our handbag model achieves 64.09% top-1 accuracy and our shoes model achieves 58.36%.) For comparison, the baseline aesthetic model achieved 68.8% accuracy on shoes images and 78.8% accuracy on handbags. This shows that product image quality cannot necessarily be predicted by aesthetic judgments alone, and that our dataset constitutes a unique source of data for the study of online marketplace images. Our image quality model gives us a black box understanding of image quality in an uninterpretable way. Next, we investigate what factors influence image quality. 3.5.1 What Makes a Good Product Photo? Guiding sellers to upload good photos for their listings is a challenge that almost all online eCommerce sites face. Many sites provide photo tips or guidelines for sellers. For example, Google Merchant Center [Google, 2019]. suggests to “use a solid white or transparent background”, or to “use an image that shows a clear view of the main product being sold”. eBay also provides “tips for taking photos that sell” [eBay, 2019], including “tip #1: use a plain, uncluttered backdrop to make your items stand out”, “tip #2: turn off the flash and use soft, diffused lighting”. In addition, many online blogs and YouTube channels also provide tutorials on how to take better product photos. Despite the abundance of product photography tips, little previous work has validated the effectiveness of these strategies computationally (with the exception of [Chung et al., 2012, Goswami et al., 2011]). Although there is a robust line of research on computational photo aesthetics (e.g., [Schwarz et al., 2016]), product photography differs greatly in content and functionality from 60 other types of photography and is worth special examination. In this work, we leverage our annotated dataset, and conducted the first computational analysis of the impact of common product photography tips on image quality. Unlike previous work [Chung et al., 2012, Goswami et al., 2011] that analyzed the impact of image features on clicks, we evaluate directly on potential buyers’ perception of image quality. In a later section, we then show how image quality can in turn predict sales outcomes. Selecting Image Features In order to select the image features to validate, we took a qualitative approach and analyzed 49 online product photography tutorials. We collected the tutorials through Google search queries such as “product photography”, “how to take shoe photo sell”, and took results from top two pages (filtering out ads). We man- ually read and labeled the topics mentioned in these tutorials and summarized the most frequently mentioned tips. Out of the 49 tutorials we analyzed, the most frequent topics were: (1) Background (mentioned in 57% of the tutorials): key- words included white, clean, uncluttered; (2) Lighting (57%): soft, good, bright; (3) Angles (40%): multiple angles, front, back, top, bottom, details; (4) Context (29%): in use; (5) Focus (22%): sharp, high resolution; (6) Post-production (22%): white balance, lighting, exposure; and (7) Crop (14%): zoom, scale. Based on the qualitative results, as well as referencing previous work [Chung et al., 2012, Goswami et al., 2011], we defined and calculated a set of image features to analyze for their impact on image quality. There are three types of image features that we considered: (1) Global features such as brightness, 61 contrast, and dynamic range; (2) Object features based on our object detector (more details on that below); and (3) Regional features focusing on background and foreground. Table 3.1 contains the definition and example images for our complete set of image features. Calculating Image Features Global image features can be computed without extra information, but object and regional features require knowledge of the object that appears in the image. We trained an object detector that could detect bounding boxes for our product categories. Object detection. The process for building shoe detectors and handbag detectors is the same. First, we collected and manually verified a dataset of 170 shoe images from the ImageNet dataset [Deng et al., 2009]. Those images were already labeled with the bounding box around each shoe, and they vary across many visual styles and contexts (not just online marketplaces). We also augmented the ImageNet images with our own from the online marketplace mentioned in Sec. 3.3.2. We designed a crowdsourcing task and labeled 500 images from the online marketplaces image dataset. Crowd workers were asked to draw the bounding box around each single shoe in the image, and each image was assigned to two distinct crowd-workers in order to ensure quality labeling. We filtered out labels where the overlap between two bounding boxes were less than 50%. In total, we gathered 650 shoe images from both ImageNet and our online marketplace datasets, with bounding boxes around each shoe. Next, we trained our shoe detector by using the Tensorflow Object Detection 62 Feature Name Definition Low High Global Features: brightness 0.3R + 0.6G + 0.1B contrast Michelson contrast dynamic_range grayscale (max - min) width the width of the photo in px height the height of the photo in px resolution width * height / 106 Object Features: object_cnt # of objects detected top_space bounding box top to top of im-age in px bottom_space bounding box bottom to bot-tom of image left_space bounding box left to left of im-age right_space bounding box right to right ofimage x_asymmetry abs(right_space - left_space)/width y_asymmetry abs(top_space - bottom_space)/height Regional Features: (fg: foreground; bg: background) fgbg_area_ratio # pixels in fg / bg bgfg_brightness_diff brightness of bg - fg bgfg_contrast_diff contrast of bg - fg bg_lightness RGB distance from a purewhite image bg_nonuniformity standard deviation of bg pixelsin grayscale Table 3.1: Image feature definitions and example images 63 API and Single Shot Multi-box detector method [Liu et al., 2016]. The training set included 300 images randomly selected from our labeled datasets. Finally, we evaluated the performance of our detector on a validation set of 350 images. We achieved a mean Average Precision (mAP0.5) of 0.84 for the shoe detection.2 We repeated the same process for the handbag detector, and reached similar performance. The resulted object detectors output bounding boxes around the shoes and handbags in the image, which we then used to compute object and regional features. In particular, for regional features, we used GrabCut algorithm [Rother et al., 2004] to segment the foreground and background, initializing GrabCut with the detected bounding boxes as the foreground region. Then we computed the lightness and non-uniformity of the background, as well as differences in brightness and contrast between background and foreground. Table 3.1 contains all details and example images for our image features. Regression Analysis After calculating the image features, we analyzed their impact on image quality through multiple ordered logistic regression. Our dependent variable is the three image quality labels (bad, neutral, good) annotated through the crowdsourcing task in Sec. 3.4. We choose to use the image label rather than raw image quality scores for the dependent variable because there is less noise in the label (as we did majority voting to get image labels). All analysis was done on the LetGo image dataset, as that’s the set of images we collected manual image quality label on. 2mAP0.5 means an image counts as positive if the detected and groundtruth bounding boxes overlap with an intersection-over-union score greater than 0.5. 64 Detection: shoes. We first report on analysis of the shoe images. In our dataset, 7% of the images did not have a target object detected, 22% has one target object detected, 70% had two or more targeted objects detected. A chi-squared test showed that there were significant differences in the distribution of image quality labels across different number of target objects detected (χ2 = 463.68, p < .001). Having at least one target object detected makes the image 2.7 times more likely to be labeled as “good” quality. Detection: handbags. Similarly, for handbags, 8% of our images did not have a target object detected (with the detection score threshold of .90). A chi- squared test showed that there was a significant difference in the distribution of image quality labels between having a target object detected and not (χ2 = 60.34, p < .001). Having the target object detected makes the image 1.4 times more likely to be labeled as “good” quality. To ensure the regression analysis remained accurate, we manually verified detection accuracy on a subset of 2,000 images of shoes and 2,000 images of handbags. We then conducted ordered logistic regression on this manually- verified subset using image features as independent variables to predict the image quality label. Results are shown in Table 3.23. Brightness/background. On a high level, we confirmed brighter images are more likely to be labeled as high quality for both product categories. In addition, the non-uniformity of the background makes it less likely for an image to be labeled as high quality. These two features coincide with the most commonly mentioned product photography tips, background and lighting. 3Note the regression results do not differ significantly when we include the entire dataset, showing that features extracted from automatic object detection are robust. 65 Shoes Handbags Feature Name Estimate SE Estimate SE brightness 3.30∗∗∗ (.96) 3.46∗∗∗ (.92) contrast 1.79 (1.26) 4.89∗∗∗ (1.44) dynamic_range 2.22∗ (1.104) .47 (1.67) resolution -.10 (.06) -.21 (.19) x_asymmetry -0.54 (.68) -2.26∗∗ (.84) y_asymmetry -0.74 (.49) .73 (.46) fgbg_area_ratio -.35∗∗∗ (.06) -.17∗∗∗ (.03) bgfg_brightness_diff .59 (.48) -.11 (.53) bgfg_contrast_diff -.52 (.54) -.80 (.42) bg_lightness -.46 (.56) .16 (.55) bg_nonuniformity -1.6∗ (.633) -4.84∗∗∗ (.64) 0|1 3.59∗∗ (1.20) 4.64∗∗∗ (1.22) 1|2 5.46∗∗∗ (1.21) 6.13∗∗∗ (1.22) AIC: 4170.76 4169.92 Significance codes: ∗p < .05 , ∗∗p < .01 , ∗∗∗p < .001 Table 3.2: Ordered logistic regression coefficients predicting image quality labels Crop/zoom. We found mixed evidence around the crop of the images. For both product categories, higher foreground to background ratio makes it less likely for an image to be labeled as high quality, suggesting that the product should be properly framed and not too zoomed-in. Symmetry. Interestingly, we found that for shoes, asymmetry does not signif- icantly contribute to perception of quality, but for handbags, horizontal asym- metry moderately contributes to a lower perception of quality. One potential explanation for this difference could be that shoes and handbags have different product geometry dimensions (tall v.s. wide), and sellers would take pictures with different orientations resulting in different distribution in vertical and hori- zontal asymmetry to begin with. Indeed, we observed that handbag images were slightly more likely to be in portrait (width.05). Incidentally, this size threshold roughly corresponds to Dunbar’s number — the maximum number of stable social relationships a person can maintain due to limitations in cognitive resources [Dunbar, 1992]. Smaller private groups 146 Care Reliability Integrity Risk Taking 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 2.5 5.0 7.5 2.5 5.0 7.5 2.5 5.0 7.5 Group Size (Log) Disposition to Trust Low High Privacy Type Public Private Figure 5.1: The relationship between trust in groups and group size, for each dimension (panels), across groups of different privacy types (line style) and individuals with different propensity to trust (line color). Dunbar’s number (150) is marked by a vertical red dotted line.) provide control and exclusivity over membership, thus allowing members to foster a shared sense of identity [Moser et al., 2017]. Once the group becomes too big, that shared identity might be lost, resulting in no difference between large groups that are public or private. Figure 5.1 summarizes the impact of group size on trust in public and private groups, as well as the effect of an individual’s disposition to trust (we consider composite scores >3 to be high and <=3 to be low). The figure shows that having a high disposition to trust (black lines) and a group being private (solid lines) are both factors that contribute to trust in groups. But while the effect of privacy decreases with size (dashed and solid lines cross), the reverse is true for an individual’s disposition to trust. An interaction effect between group size and individual’s disposition to trust (β=0.01, p<.01) shows that people with a greater disposition to trust others were less sensitive to changes in group size (visually represented by gentler slope of black lines compared to blue ones in Figure 5.1). 147 Trust in Group Other basic group properties also relate to trust. Longer group tenure predicts higher trust (β=0.04 on log scale, p<.001), potentially because older members have more stable group relationships and are more familiar with other group members [Walther and Bunz, 2005]. The number of admins also predicts higher trust (β=0.10 on log scale, p<.001). This finding is consistent with previous work that found that groups with more admins tended to survive longer than groups with fewer admins [Kraut and Fiore, 2014]. The number of moderators is a much weaker predictor of group trust. Group Category As previously described, participants in our survey labeled groups as belonging to one or more of six categories. Including group category as multiple binary variables to the baseline model significantly improved trust predictions (p<.001), increasing the model’s adjusted R2 by 0.05. To illustrate differences in trust across these categories, we also conducted an ANOVA and plotted the average trust in groups by category in Figure 5.2. Groups marked as “other” were excluded from this analysis. Post-hoc Tukey tests showed that people trust friends & family groups the most, followed by identity-based and education & work groups (p<.001). They trust interest- and location-based groups least (p<.001). Why does trust differ by group category? For friends & family groups, high trust is a strong sign of bonding social capital [Putnam, 2000]. Identity- based groups (e.g., parenting groups) and education & work groups elicit trust by establishing a shared identity among group members [Moser et al., 2017]. Finally, interest- and location-based groups may represent less bonding and more bridging social capital [Granovetter, 1985], especially for information sharing. 148 4.50 4.25 Trust Dimension Care 4.00 Reliability Integrity 3.75 Risk Taking 3.50 Friends Education Identity− Interest− Location− & Family & Work Based Based Based Group Category Figure 5.2: People have the highest trust in friends and family groups, and lowest in interest- and location-based groups. People use these groups more as places to transact and exchange (both physical goods and information) than as places to build relationships [Granovetter, 1985]. By comparing groups across different categories, we can develop a more holistic understanding of trust across different types of social groups that also draws on insights from previously isolated studies [Moser et al., 2017, Holtz et al., 2017]. Activity Here, we studied both a survey participant’s activity in a group as well as the overall group activity across all members. Measures of activity include time spent in the group and the number of actions (posts, likes, or comments) taken in the group, averaged across the 28 days preceding the survey. In the case of public groups, activity also included contributions from nonmembers. An individual’s overall site engagement was not predictive of trust, and thus was excluded from our analyses. Including activity features (time spent, group activity, and participant in group activity) to the baseline model improves its adjusted R2 by 0.04 (p<.001). 149 Trust Score As many activity features are correlated, we report coefficients when the feature is independently added to the baseline model. Time spent in the group, both by the individual (β=0.04, p<.001) and by other group members (β=0.05, p<.001) independently predicts higher trust in groups. Overall, the number of posts per member (β=0.07, p<.001), and the number of likes and comments per post (β=0.07, p<.001) were also both independently associated with higher trust. However, the number of comments and likes a participant made in a group was associated with higher trust (β=0.10 on log scale, p<.001), but not the number of posts the participant wrote. Why is this the case? Posting in a group may be influenced by a variety of factors other than trust (e.g., self-esteem [Forest and Wood, 2012]). In contrast, likes and comments are forms of directed communication that people use to maintain relationships with others [Ellison et al., 2014] and may therefore be more conducive to building trust. Homogeneity and Homophily Trust may also be influenced by how similar people in a group are to each other (homogeneity), and how similar an individual is to others in the group (homophily). For each group, we measured age and gender diversity by computing the gender entropy of the group’s members and the standard deviation of their ages. To measure homophily, we constructed a simple distance measure based on the approach of [Abrahao et al., 2017]. If the participant had the same gender with the majority of the group members, we coded the gender distance as 0, otherwise 150 1. If the participant’s age was within 5 years of the average age of the group, we coded the age distance as 0, otherwise 1. The total distance from average group members was calculated as the L1 distance, i.e., the sum of gender and age distance ∈ (0,1,2). As different types of groups may have different demographic compositions, we controlled for group category in this analysis. Adding homogeneity and homophily features to the baseline model results in a small improvement (increased adjusted R2 by less than 0.01, p<.001). Nonethe- less, we found that both gender (β=0.04, p<.001) and age homogeneity (β=0.04, p<.001) were associated with higher trust. Surprisingly, homophily, measured as described above, was not predictive of trust in groups. This contrasts with findings in previous work on trust and homophily in dyadic exchange, which found that trust increases with gender and age homophily [Abrahao et al., 2017, Ahmad et al., 2011]. While we only studied age and gender homophily here, future work may consider other forms of homophily (e.g., with respect to interests, location, or socio-economic status) or other measures of homophily, especially in a group rather than dyadic context. Network Structure To understand how network structure mediates trust, we calculated the following network features for each group: (1) network density: the number of friendships in the entire group friendship graph divided by the number of possible combina- tions; (2) average clustering coefficient: the average local clustering coefficient in the group membership graph, which measures what proportion of an individ- ual’s friends also know one another; (3) participant degree centrality: the number 151 (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) Survey Participant Group Admin Other Group Members Figure 5.3: Groups differ in network density, participant degree centrality, and how a participant’s friends are linked to each other. Each node represents a group member. Each edge represents a friend- ship between two members. The survey participant is colored in red, and group admins are colored in yellow. of friends a participant has in the group, normalized by group size; (4) k-core existence: a measure of how a participant’s friends in the group are connected with each other, calculated as whether a k-core component [Ugander et al., 2012] exists for participant’s friendship graph in the group (we found that k=5 resulted in the greatest model improvement); and (5) average mutual friend count: the mean number of mutual friends between participant and group members. Figure 5.3 illustrates how several group networks in our sample differ along these network features. For example, Group A has higher network density and higher average clustering coefficient than group B. Groups C and D differ in the participant’s degree centrality. Group D contains a 5-core, but E does not. These network features, when added to the baseline model, improves its adjusted R2 by 0.10 (p<.001). Each feature was positively associated with trust in groups (p<.001), though we note that these network features correlate highly with one another. Considering these features separately, the average clustering coefficient was most predictive (β=1.08, p<.001), followed by group density (β=0.93, p<.001) and the participant’s degree centrality (β=0.84, p<.001). 152 Demographics 1.78% General Attitudes Towards Others 20.63% Basic Properties & Category 6.16% Full Model Activity 10.96% R 2= 0.26 Homogeneity 7.09% Network Structure 22.04% Figure 5.4: For each feature set, we calculated the average feature impor- tance (measured by relative percent increase in MSE when a feature is removed) in predicting trust in groups. Network structure was the most important, followed by an individual’s general attitudes towards others. 5.4.3 Predicting Trust in Groups Thus far, we have shown how various sets of group characteristics separately contribute to trust, after controlling for individual characteristics. Here, we examine how these features can together predict composite trust in groups. A random forest model that uses all feature sets (in both Table 5.3 and Ta- ble 5.4) reached a performance of out-of-sample adjusted R2 of 0.26 and a mean- squared error (MSE) of 0.53. We obtained similar performance using multiple linear regression. To understand the relative importance of the different feature sets, we ranked all features by how much a random permutation of their values increased the model’s MSE. These values are shown in Figure 5.4. We find that network features are most important, followed by an individual’s general attitude towards others. Least important were demographic features. Overall, this result suggests that both individual and group characteristics are important in predicting trust in 153 groups. Predicting Trust Using Only Observational Data As we demonstrate relatively robust performance in predicting trust in groups, one might consider using such predictions to make better group or community recommendations. However, our model uses survey responses about individual differences, including disposition to trust and related concepts, to make predic- tions about trust in a specific group. In practical settings, it may not be feasible to administer the survey questions on individual differences to all users. This motivates the question of how well our modeling approach works in the absence of the individual differences survey features. Excluding these features, our best model obtained an adjusted R2 of 0.15 and MSE of 0.59. In this model, network structure features were again most important, but instead followed by group activity features. 5.4.4 Group Outcomes Theoretical accounts of trust emphasize the impact of trust on community out- comes, attributing trust to prosperity [Fukuyama, 1995], among other things. Here, we analyze how trust relates to three different group outcomes: (1) the percentage change in group size; (2) the percentage change in new tie formation (the number of new ties divided by the number of pre-existing ties) among other members of the group; and (3) the percentage change in new tie formation by the survey participant in the group. All three measures were calculated by com- paring the state of the group on the day of the survey to that 28 days after. As 154 Member+ > 1% Other Ties+ > 1% Participant Ties+ > 1% 80% ● ● ● ● 60% ● 40% ● ● ● ● ● 20% ● ● ● ● 0% ● 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 Trust in Groups Composite Figure 5.5: Groups with higher trust ratings are less likely to increase in size (left), more likely for the survey participant to form new connections in them (right), and had no effect on the likelihood on forming friendships among group members other than the rater (center). these changes tend to be small, with a median change of about 1%, we instead predict whether each measure would increase by more than 1%. Figure 5.5 shows the percentage of groups that exhibited an increase by more than 1% in each of the group outcomes listed above. Using logistic regression and controlling for basic group properties such as group size, we found that higher trust was associated with a lower likelihood of a group increasing in size (odds ratio -0.87, p<.001); and a higher likelihood that the survey participant would form more new friendships in the group (odds ratio 1.29, p<.001). Trust in a group was not predictive of the likelihood of other group members forming friendships in the group. These results suggest a tension between trust and growth for online groups. Our findings are consistent with previous work on online communities that found that “cliquishness” (or high triangle density) makes a community less attractive to join and less likely to grow in size [Backstrom et al., 2006]. While membership growth is an important indicator of success for online groups [Kraut and Fiore, 2014], trust, partially elicited by small groups and exclusive member- 155 Pct Groups w/ Increase ship [Moser et al., 2017], can limit group expansion (but nonetheless encourages individuals to make new connections within the group). Future work can ex- amine the relationship between trust and group longevity, as well as other interaction dynamics such as forming sub-communities within the group. 5.5 Discussion In this work, we present a framework for predicting an individual’s trust in one of their social groups on Facebook. Combining a large and diverse survey with behavioral and demographic data, we show that both individual characteristics and group characteristics contribute substantially to trust. We are able to explain a significant portion of an individual’s trust in groups (R2=0.26) as well as show how trust relates to outcomes such as membership growth and the formation of new within-group friendships. This work builds on many previous studies of trust in groups by showing how features previously studied in isolation may interact with each other and how important these features are relative to each other. Beyond confirming that both an individual’s general disposition to trust others [Ferguson and Pe- terson, 2015] and a group’s size [Brewer, 1991] affect that individual’s trust in a group, we further show that group size matters less to individuals with a greater disposition to trust, and that an individual’s feelings of receiving social support from others in general is actually more predictive of trust in groups than their general disposition to trust. Apart from demonstrating that people do trust smaller, more private groups, we show that among groups with more than 150 members, the effect of exclusive membership decreases. Where previous 156 work has suggested a relation between group connectivity and trust [Coleman, 1988, Yuki et al., 2005], we also demonstrate that network measures such as the average clustering coefficient in a group are among the strongest predictors of trust in a group. Our findings on how directed communication such as likes and comments contributes to group trust corroborate similar observations in qualitative studies [Moser et al., 2017]. Nonetheless, several null results suggest areas for future exploration. While prior work suggests trust differs with sociodemographic factors [Pew, 2007], we found that age and gender explain close to zero variance in one’s trust in groups. Future work may consider exploring other factors such as geography or socioeconomic status. Cultural differences may also play a significant role in trust: prior work found that an indirect relationship between two people was more likely to increase trust for Japanese than Americans [Yuki et al., 2005], suggesting that network structure may be more predictive of trust among the former. Though we found that gender- and age-homogenous groups were more trusted, we also found no evidence that gender or age homophily predicts trust in groups, in contrast to previous literature suggesting that relationships between similar individuals tend to be more trusting [Abrahao et al., 2017, Ahmad et al., 2011, McPherson et al., 2001]. Understanding the extent to which these findings apply to specific situations — moms’ buy-and-sell groups on Facebook are known to garner trust [Moser et al., 2017] — remains future work. Future work may also involve investigating other potential correlates of trust such as psychological safety [Edmondson et al., 2004] and belonging [Zhao et al., 2012], as well as other outcomes of trust on online groups. For example, high trust may lead to a greater willingness to attend an event, share (or believe) 157 information originating from within the group, or donate to a cause. 5.5.1 Design Implications The work reported here has several potential implications for the design of online communities. We showed that certain types of actions (e.g., commenting and liking) are more positively associated with trust than others (e.g., posting). This adds nuance to previous findings that people have greater trust in communities in which they are more active [Cartwright and Zander, 1953]. As such, platforms could prioritize facilitating directed interactions among group members, for example, expanding features to support polling, brainstorming, and collective planning. At the same time, these findings may also inform the design of content recommendation systems. If these findings indicate that directed communication is a key signal of trust, then incorporating such signals of directed communication may better ensure that people see more content from communities that they trust more. Consistent with prior work [Kraut and Fiore, 2014], we found that trust grows with the number of group admins and decreases with group size. As online communities grow, it may be beneficial for platforms to encourage groups to recruit additional admins to maintain existing levels of trust. Further, network properties of online communities such as the average clus- tering coefficient are strong predictors of trust. Adding members that increase the average clustering of the group may be beneficial both to new members and 158 to the group as a whole. Given that trust in a group correlates with behavioral signals, with additional research, platforms may also be able to provide a rough indicator of trust in groups and how it may be changing over time. Last, our findings suggest alternative strategies for recommending groups to individuals. For instance, recommending smaller, less popular groups may not only increase the diversity of group recommendations, but also lead to greater trust and user satisfaction. 5.5.2 Limitations Our analysis is limited to groups on Facebook. Understanding how trust differs in communities with different policies on anonymity (e.g., Reddit or Nextdoor) or that have different feedback mechanisms remains an important area for future exploration. Anonymity may increase trust by making it easier for vulnerable populations to talk about sensitive issues, but also have a disinhibiting effect and increase harassment and thus reduce trust [Kiesler et al., 1984]; indicators of reputation or popularity such as up-votes and down-votes may also influence trust, especially in the absence of other social signals [Resnick and Zeckhauser, 2002]. Still, many group properties (e.g., group size) that we examined apply to groups in general; the interactions (e.g., posting or liking) that we looked at are also common on other social media platforms. Along with the large number and diversity of groups we surveyed, we expect that many of our findings will generalize to other online communities3. While we controlled for individual 3Code to reproduce our analysis is available at https://github.com/ facebookresearch/trust-in-groups 159 differences such as demographics and an individual’s general attitudes towards others, understanding differences that may arise in offline groups and with regards to other factors such as location remains future work. Also, individuals may choose to join groups based on other unobserved differences (e.g., word- of-mouth). Finally, our methodology is based on correlations between variables and cannot directly suggest causation. Most significantly, it is possible that individuals who have different propensities to trust tend to join entirely different groups, explaining some of our observed differences. Similar limitations apply to the group outcomes analysis. While greater trust may lead one to connect to other members of a group, it may also arise from making these connections. 5.6 Conclusion Groups play a significant role in an individual’s social experiences and inter- actions. Trust, which predicts numerous positive outcomes for a group and its members, is core to a group’s proper functioning. In this work, we presented a framework for predicting an individual’s trust in a social group, and identified characteristics of both the individual and the group that help predict the indi- vidual’s trust in the group. By surveying 6,383 Facebook Groups users about their trust attitudes and examining aggregated behavioral and demographic data for these individuals, we show that (1) an individual’s propensity to trust is associated with how they trust their groups; (2) smaller, closed, older, more ex- clusive, or more homogeneous groups are trusted more; and (3) a group’s overall friendship-network structure and an individual’s position within that structure can also predict trust. Last, we demonstrate how group trust predicts outcomes at both individual and group level such as the formation of new friendship ties. 160 This work can contribute to future research and design decisions that better support trust in online communities and foster long-term meaningful interactions online and offline. From a networked trust perspective, the work presented in this dissertation shows that network structure is among the most predictive factors of trust in groups. This highlights the importance of social networks in trust in networked environment. Future work can investigate how social structure contributes to trust in other platforms of digital exchange. For example, how does social structure impact interpersonal trust in the context of hiring and professional networking on LinkedIn? At the same time, social structure can be important to understand other phenomenon related to trust. Social groups have been found to be a vehicle for misinformation [Silverman et al., 2018]. It is possible that trust in groups mediates trust in information or misinformation shared to the group. Understanding how social structure of the group impacts how people trust information shared in the group can be an important direction for future work. 161 CHAPTER 6 DISCUSSION AND FUTURE WORK 6.1 Algorithms of Trust and Networked Trust This dissertation has presented three different case studies of interpersonal trust online using computational methods. In the first study, through a large-scale analysis of user-generated image cues, I built algorithms that predict image quality of products at a high accurately (87%). A controlled experiment further showed that images selected by the algorithms outperform stock imagery in generating perceived trustworthiness in the platform. Finally, image quality predicted by the algorithm is correlated with higher sales in real world settings on eBay. In the second study, analysis of language cues in Airbnb host profiles uncov- ered patterns of self-disclosure as well as how language cues lead to trust in sharing economy platforms. For example, the topic of hospitality was most effec- tive in establishing trust, controlling for profile length. These insights show the importance of language cues and self-disclosure in establishing trust on sharing economy platforms. Further, we were able to build algorithms to predict trust in these profiles based on language cues (72% accuracy in recognizing profiles that are perceived as high or low in trustworthiness for profiles less than twenty words). Finally, in the last study of trust, through a large-scale comprehensive study of diverse Facebook social groups, I showed that the network features are among the most predictive features of trust in social groups. People trust smaller, denser, 162 and more private groups. Similarly, I also developed algorithms to predict trust in social groups based on a variety individual-level and group-level features. Such algorithms can inform the ranking and recommendation for groups on Facebook to promote trust. Taken together, these three case studies of trust have extended our under- standing of interpersonal trust online in different contexts: peer-to-peer mar- ketplaces, sharing economy platforms, and social networks. These platforms facilitate digitalized social exchange. As these platforms keep evolving, new questions about trust will continue to be raised. At the same time, there are many other platforms that facilitate social exchange and can be in scope for future in- vestigation of trust: for example, video-based social network TikTok, Augmented Reality (AR) enabled Snapchat, etc. Trust in these platforms is likely to also play a very important role but future work is needed to understand specific contexts and risks involved. This dissertation also argues that the term “online trust” does not sufficiently capture the factors that impact trust in networked environments. As people are embedded in social and information networks when they conduct social exchange, and as algorithms increasingly mediate such exchanges, a “networked trust” view is proposed. Details on networked trust are laid out in Section 2.3.2. As a reminder, networked trust has three focuses: (1) cues in Computer-Mediated Communication; (2) embeddedness in social networks; and (3) increasing media- tion by algorithms. Networked trust can be a useful framework for setting future research agendas, which we discuss below. 163 6.2 Future Research Agenda Here I discuss three areas of future research based on the work presented in this dissertation: (1) networked trust and misinformation; (2) AI-Mediated Commu- nication (AI-MC); and (3) AI-Mediated Exchange Theory (AI-MET). 6.2.1 Networked Trust and Misinformation One of the most direct applications of the networked trust framework is in understanding trust in information in misinformation research. In recent years, concerns grew over the spread of misinformation online, especially through social media [Allcott and Gentzkow, 2017, Allcott et al., 2019, Flintham et al., 2018, Grinberg et al., 2019, Flintham et al., 2018]. Although misinformation, defined as information that is false or misleading, has long existed before digital platforms, it creates new challenges now as digital platforms and algorithms optimized for engagement can result in viral diffusion of misinformation in social networks [Zhang et al., 2018]. Prior work has begun to design solutions to curb the spread of misinformation and achieved various levels of success [Zhang et al., 2018]. Using the networked trust framework, we can organize prior work on misin- formation into three focuses: (1) cues: contextual trust indicators; (2) networks: the analysis of how misinformation spread in networks; and (3) algorithms: the role of algorithms in configuring how misinformation spreads. The first focus, contextual trust indicators, are cues signaling the trustworthi- ness of information source [Jakesch et al., 2019,Pennycook and Rand, 2019,Zhang 164 et al., 2018, Kohring and Matthes, 2007]. For example, the Trust Project has de- signed a core set of eight Trust Indicators, including factors around the historical trustworthiness of the news outlet, the expertise of the author/reporter, and the type of work (advertisement, opinion, or news reporting)1. The trust indi- cators often rely on a crowdsourcing approach, either through experts [Zhang et al., 2018] or through laypeople, which has been shown to be successful in discriminating high and low quality content and provide ratings that highly correlate with professional checkers [Pennycook and Rand, 2019, Epstein et al., 2019]. Relatedly, prior work has examined how people evaluate news credibility based on source, trust indicators, and related factors such as their own political beliefs and news literacy [Tully et al., 2019,Sundar, 1998, Jakesch et al., 2019]. On Twitter, verified status of the news distributor was not shown to have an effect on credibility of the news being shared [Vaidya et al., 2019]. Trust indicators act as cues to signal the trustworthiness of another party (usually the news source), and news consumers subsequently make decisions about trust based on these cues while considering their own propensity to trust and other factors. The second focus, understanding how misinformation spread in networks, aligns well with the networks focus in networked trust framework. Early work on information diffusion has established that those who are exposed to a social feed in social networks are significantly more likely to spread information, and do so sooner than those who are not exposed [Bakshy et al., 2012]. In addition, weak ties play a more dominant role in the dissemination of information online, compared to strong ties [Bakshy et al., 2012]. Work on misinformation has also established patterns on how true and false information travel through networks [Vosoughi et al., 2018, Budak, 2019]. For example, false news were 1https://thetrustproject.org/faq/indicator 165 found to diffuse “significantly farther, faster, deeper, and more broadly than the truth in all categories of information” [Vosoughi et al., 2018]. In addition, social bots were found to play a key role in the spread of low-credibility content [Shao et al., 2018]. There has also been qualitative work focused on understanding how people consume news in the context of social networks, highlighting different strategies people use to establish perceptions of trust while being embedded in networks. Although people rely on source and content to evaluate news credibility in social networks, interests in the topic also play a very important role — “when the topic of the story was not seen as personally relevant, there was little interest in figuring out whether or not it was true” [Flintham et al., 2018]. In addition, research has shown that when news is shared in social networks, trust indicators might be ignored, especially when they come from strangers rather than pre-existing social relationships [Hannak et al., 2014]. The networks focus of the above-mentioned misinformation research aligns well with the second focus of networked trust, which views interpersonal trust not in isolated dyadic interactions, but rather embedded in social and information networks where the structure of the network play an important role. Finally, the algorithms focus investigates the role of algorithms in configuring how misinformation spread. As research on the algorithmic transparency, bias, and accountability gains wider interest [Barocas and Selbst, 2016], algorithmic transparency in the context of news media is also receiving more attention [Di- akopoulos and Koliska, 2017]. Given that the majority of social media has have heavily algorithmic curated feeds [Eslami et al., 2015, Eslami et al., 2019], there is growing concern over the opacity of algorithms, especially around how such opacity affects news consumption [Diakopoulos and Koliska, 2017]. The role of algorithms in perpetuating misinformation can be found outside of social 166 networks as well, for example, in Amazon book recommendations2 and Google search3. This algorithms focus aligns well with the third aspect of networked trust, which is concerned with understanding algorithmic mediation and how people’s trust in algorithms might play an intermediating role on trust in news. Based on this networked trust view, we can develop research questions to deepen our understanding of trust in misinformation research, especially how different focuses of networked trust interact. Instead of focusing on understand- ing how cues, networks, and algorithms work in isolation, we can begin to ask questions around how they interact or work together in the networked envi- ronment. For example, social contexts extracted from social networks can help improve the prediction of news credibility [Shu et al., 2019b, Shu et al., 2017, Shu et al., 2018] compared to using language cues alone [Yao et al., 2017a, Rashkin et al., 2017, Popat et al., 2016]. Below are some other examples of questions we can ask about trust in misin- formation research. How does news source interact with social signals extracted from networks about the distributor (e.g., from whom the news is being shared and their social status)? How do cues (trust indicators) affect the diffusion of mis- information in social networks? Building directly off my work on trust in social groups [Ma et al., 2019a], how do people trust and interact with misinformation differently when false information is shared in groups with different network structures? We can also ask how algorithms affect cues. How can we build personal- ization algorithms that are perceived as more trustworthy [Lai and Tan, 2018]? 2https://www.wired.com/story/amazon-and-the-spread-of-health-misinformation/ 3https://www.blog.google/around-the-globe/google-europe/fighting-disinformation- across-our-products/ 167 How can we build trustworthy algorithms that detect misinformation, perhaps through high transparency and explainability [Shu et al., 2019a]? These questions can help further advance our understanding of misinformation in networked environments. 6.2.2 AI-Mediated Communication (AI-MC) The second future research direction that builds off the work presented in this dissertation is the area of AI-Mediated Communication (AI-MC). Recall that the first focus of networked trust framework is investigating how cues in Computer- Mediated Communication affect interpersonal outcomes. However, as discussed in the end of Chapter 4, algorithms can modify, augment, and even generate cues to optimize for perceived trustworthiness in online communication. Such algorithmic ability to modify, augment, and generate cues in presen- tation online raises new questions about interpersonal trust and other commu- nication outcomes. Specifically, several real-world examples have shown that AI-powered systems impact online interpersonal communication processes. For example, Google’s Smart Reply, a system that generates short email responses, has already been deployed in real-world systems and accounts for 10% of the mobile replies in the Google Inbox [Kannan et al., 2016]. Other systems also medi- ate interpersonal interactions, such as profile summary auto-generation feature on LinkedIn4; a startup named CV Compiler that boasts using machine learning to revise resumes to boost chances of getting a high-paying job in tech5; and chat bots that suggests responses to other people’s messages mid-conversation [Ho- 4https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/solving-blank-slate-problem-through-auto-generated- summary-jalan/ 5https://cvcompiler.com/ 168 henstein and Jung, 2018]. These AI-powered communication systems raise new questions about online interpersonal communication, especially around interpersonal trust. The term “Computer-Mediated” is no longer sufficient to capture the additional complexity that AI systems bring in interpersonal exchange. Rather than simply being a pas- sive mediator, the AI-powered systems may alter the messages being transmitted, increasing uncertainty and risks in interpersonal communication. To capture these new challenges brought by AI-powered communication systems, I developed the term “AI-Mediated Communication” to chart an emerg- ing area of research. At the time of this writing, the exact definition and re- search questions represented by the term are still being developed [Naaman et al., 2019]. However, first attempts have already established observed effects of AI-Mediated Communication [Jakesch et al., 2019], by extending the work on computational trustworthiness of Airbnb host profiles presented in Chap- ter 4 [Ma et al., 2017a,Ma et al., 2017c]. Experiments show that there is a decrease in perceived trustworthiness when people are not sure whether a profile is writ- ten by human or AI [Jakesch et al., 2019]. In other words, the lack of transparency in the existence of AI hinders interpersonal trust. Future work can continue to investigate and clarify mental models around transparency in AI-Mediated Communication. Another emerging line of work in the area of AI-Mediated Communication examines how AI-suggested responses impact people’s behav- ior. For example, there is early evidence that positivity bias in AI-suggested responses might nudge people to respond differently to requests [Hohenstein and Jung, 2018]. Future developments in AI-Mediated Communication might also address 169 other important questions: For example, what characteristics of the AI systems that mediate interpersonal communication lead to acceptance and adoption? What characteristics lead to distrust and avoidance? The insights from AI- Mediated Communication will be valuable to further the emerging discussion in CHI community around design guidelines in human-AI interaction [Amer- shi et al., 2019]. Another question we can ask is how these AI systems impact decision-making. Behavior science has uncovered how people systematically made decisions that are not rational, or subject to priming and anchoring [Ariely, 2008, Kahneman, 2011]. Can AI-powered communication systems amplify or curb such patterns in decision-making? Finally, hard ethical questions need to be raised with regard to these systems, such as whether the algorithms used in AI-powered communication systems are fair, transparent, and accurate. Chal- lenges in misrepresentation and algorithmic manipulation might exacerbate the problem of misinformation online [Susser et al., 2018]. As AI-Mediated Commu- nication’s definition and research agenda continue to develop [Naaman et al., 2019], AI-Mediated Communication will have important implications for the design, implementation, as well as the regulation of AI-powered systems that mediate interpersonal communication online. 6.2.3 AI-Mediated Exchange Theory (AI-MET) In the definition of AI-Mediated Communication, one of the boundary condition is that “whether a computational agent is operating on behalf of a communica- tor engaged in an interpersonal interaction” [Naaman et al., 2019]. Under this condition, algorithms that perform the ranking, recommendations, and classifi- cations that support human communication are not included for consideration. 170 Although this boundary condition is useful for sharpening the definition and research agenda for AI-Mediated Communication, the exclusion of other types of algorithms, especially ranking and personalization algorithms, creates gaps in understanding the role of AI in digitalized exchange. The inherent assumption of AI-Mediated Communication is that two parties are engaging in a direct exchange relationship through communication online. However, as I reviewed in Chapter 2, social exchange theory, the sociological theory that this dissertation builds the definition of trust on, states that there can be both direct and generalized (indirect) exchanges. Direct exchange occurs when there is a transfer of resources or information between two parties. In generalized exchange, however, often people pool resources together collectively to create greater values, and then re-distribute the values among the group [Yamagishi and Cook, 1993, Bearman, 1997]. In the digital context, open source communities and peer-to-peer platforms are considered as examples of generalized information exchange [Cheshire, 2007]. It is important, then, to consider the effect of algorithms in mediating general- ized exchange relationships in addition to direct exchange. Future work can work on developing “AI-Mediated Exchange Theory (AI-MET)” as a framework to consider the role of AI in mediating social exchange relationships. Specifically, the AI-Mediated Exchange Theory can discuss different mecha- nisms of algorithmic mediation. Defining different mechanisms through which algorithms mediate exchange can be helpful in organizing current and future work around algorithms’ impact on social interactions and society in general, especially around trust. Examples of such algorithmic mediation mechanisms might include: algorithmic aggregation, algorithmic representation, algorithmic 171 curation, and algorithmic augmentation. 1. Algorithmic aggregation can refer to the process where algorithms summa- rize information that is available about a potential exchange partner and make the aggregate information available to people on exchange networks. Examples of algorithmic aggregation include, reputation systems, social signals such as the number of likes, comments, and up- or down-voting. 2. Algorithmic representation can refer to the process where algorithms try to represent a specific entity using a label or a high dimensional vector. Ex- amples of algorithmic representation include clustering algorithms, word embeddings, and topic modeling. Classification algorithms such as facial detection [Buolamwini and Gebru, 2018] can also be considered as exam- ples of algorithmic representation as they represent the input data with a label (1-dimensional vector). These representations are then fed into other algorithms, such as recommendation systems, to further affect how people experience the digital platforms. 3. Algorithmic curation can refer to the process where algorithms select, or- ganize and present information based on specific goals. Examples of the algorithmic curation include, news feed ranking [Eslami et al., 2015,Eslami et al., 2019], personalization and content recommendation algorithms, as well as algorithms that assist decision-making such in Applicant Tracking Systems (ATS) in hiring [Mukherjee et al., 2014,Chiang and Suen, 2015,Bald- win et al., 2014, Arya et al., 2015]. 4. Finally, algorithmic augmentation can refer to the process where algorithms modify, augment, and even generate information related to exchange. This mechanism is essentially the focus of AI-Mediated Communication. 172 Examples of algorithmic augmentation include, deep fake [Bansal et al., 2018,Chan et al., 2018] for images and text, and the ability to generate realis- tic writings and images based on Generative Adversarial Nets [Goodfellow et al., 2014, Karras et al., 2018, Wang, 2019]. AI-Mediated Exchange Theory provides the possibility to understand how different algorithmic mediation mechanisms fit together in real-world systems to influence digitalized exchange. For example, in the hiring context, AI-Mediated Communication will be most concerned about AI augmentation — how algo- rithms that can improve resumes, or to generate resumes altogether might impact interpersonal outcomes in hiring. However, other algorithms such as the systems used for ranking and filtering participants can have inherent biases (e.g., gender bias [Gee, 2017]) and can affect interpersonal outcomes through AI curation. AI-MET allows for the discussion of how different mechanisms cascade to affect interpersonal outcomes. Here, we can examine how AI augmentation interacts with AI curation in the context of fairness in hiring. In another example, in the discussion of misinformation online, AI-Mediated Communication may primarily focuses on AI augmentation — understanding how people perceive others differently in the presence of AI that can generate re- alistic fake videos. However, as discussed above, one of the key areas of research to understand misinformation in networked environment is through understand- ing how misinformation spread in social networks, and the algorithms’ role in recommending and amplifying misinformation in networks (AI curation). AI augmentation and curation again can cascade to affect trust in information in the context of misinformation. Again, under AI-MET, different algorithms be studied in relation to one another to understand how different algorithmic mediation 173 mechanisms impact interpersonal social exchange and outcomes. In summary, three future research agenda were charted based on the work presented in this dissertation: (1) networked trust and misinformation; (2) AI- Mediated Communication (AI-MC); and (3) AI-Mediated Exchange Theory (AI- MET). These research directions either directly apply the networked trust lens in new contexts (misinformation), or extend and expand specific areas of focus of the networked trust. AI-Mediated Communication extends the first focus of networked trust, cues in Computer-Mediated Communication; and AI-Mediated Exchange Theory expands the last focus of networked trust: algorithmic medi- ation. These research directions will continue to address important questions about trust in the networked environment. 6.3 Conclusion In conclusion, this dissertation presents a series of work on understanding interpersonal trust computationally, while proposing the new framework of “networked trust”. Three work presented in this dissertation detail three different computational framework on understanding and predicting trust using image cues, language cues, and social networks, in the contexts of online commerce, sharing economy, and social network groups respectively. The computational approaches help us not only gain a deeper understanding of trust in each context, but also can inform the design of digital platforms that facilitate exchange to promote trust. The algorithms of trust developed can also directly be deployed in these systems to rank and recommend exchange partners that are likely to be perceived as trustworthy to increase the overall trust on platforms. 174 Further, I also developed the framework of “networked trust” — a new frame- work for thinking about trust in hyper-connected digital environments with three focuses: (1) cues in Computer-Mediated Communication; (2) embeddedness in social networks; and (3) increasing mediation by algorithms. As digital platforms continue to mediate social exchange in new ways, changes to social exchange structure will continue to bring new challenges and questions about interpersonal trust in networked environments. The networked trust view can be generalized to other contexts, for example, misinformation, to help organize prior work and chart new research directions on trust in misinformation research. Other con- texts where networked trust can be useful include online creative marketplaces (e.g., Spotify, Artsy, Patreon), crowdfunding platforms (e.g., Kiva, Kickstarter), and other sharing economy offerings (e.g., Airbnb Experiences). In addition, extensions of networked trust can lead to promising new areas of research, such as AI-Mediated Communication (AI-MC) and AI-Mediated Exchange Theory (AI-MET). Initial ideas for both AI-MC and AI-MET are laid out above. Future work can develop these ideas further into fuller studies and theories. Importantly, one key limitation of this dissertation is that the flip side of trust, including distrust, bias and discrimination, has not been adequately addressed, especially in networked settings. Future work is needed to understand how digital mediation can lead to the opposite of trust, and how it leads to issues in algorithmic fairness, accountability, and transparency (FAT*). In particular, future work is needed to understand the fairness, transparency, and explainability of the algorithms predicting trust, before they are deployed in real-world systems. Finally, to highlight how much trust has changed in the past two decades, I give one last example of social exchange that requires trust — taxi drivers. 175 One of the foundational book on trust, Streetwise, by Gambetta and Hamill and published in 2005, investigated how taxi drivers assess the trustworthiness of prospective passengers in Belfast, Northen Ireland, and New York. Through the novel use of signaling theory, they show the mechanisms taxi drivers use to establish trust rely heavily on physical cues — for example, picking up passen- gers only at well-lit corners and not in dark alleys [Gambetta and Hamill, 2005]. However, a little over a decade later, on Uber or Lyft, such decisions about which passengers to pick up are largely made online, through virtual networks, and increasingly controlled by algorithms [Lee et al., 2015b,Rosenblat, 2018,Rosenblat and Stark, 2016]. Real-world physical cues are discarded, while cues, networks, and algorithms become more and more important. This shift is how networked trust came into being with the digitalization of social exchange. If anything, we are still in early stages of yet another wave of change in the digitalization of social exchange, where algorithms gain increasing importance. This dissertation has set the foundation for understanding how algorithms me- diate social exchange on digital platforms. 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