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Urban Economic Base as a Catalyst for Movements in Real Estate Prices

dc.contributor.authorCoulson, N. Edward
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Crocker H.
dc.contributor.authorVillupuram, Sriram V.
dc.date.accessioned2020-09-12T21:07:30Z
dc.date.available2020-09-12T21:07:30Z
dc.date.issued2013-01-01
dc.description.abstractWe examine the relation between housing prices in an MSA and its urban economic base. We create and employ new forward-looking employment growth indices that measure the urban economic strength of an MSA and find that it accounts for a significant and sizeable portion of the house price movements in that MSA. We argue that the forward looking measure is an indicator of future agglomeration growth for the MSAs. We further partition the urban economic growth into growth by various industries and track the attribution of their growth to housing prices over time. We find that for some MSAs, home prices are driven by the same set of industries over time, whereas for others, home prices are driven by a totally new set of industries in the later quarters, due to the birth of new industries. We also analyze the impact of the diversification of an urban economic base on home price volatility and observe that diversification decreases home price volatility. The result has larger implications for urban policymakers in selecting the appropriate type of industries relative to their existing mix of industries.
dc.description.legacydownloadsLiu53_Urban_economics.pdf: 201 downloads, before Aug. 1, 2020.
dc.identifier.other9427246
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1813/72037
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.relation.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2013.09.012
dc.relation.hasversionCoulson, N. E., Liu, C. H., & Villupuram, S. V. (2013) Urban economic base as a catalyst for movements in real estate prices. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 43(6), 1023-1040.
dc.relation.isversionofAn earlier version of this article is also available in eCommons.
dc.relation.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1813/70894
dc.rightsRequired Publisher Statement: © Elsevier. Final version published as: Coulson, N. E., Liu, C. H., & Villupuram, S. V. (2013) Urban economic base as a catalyst for movements in real estate prices. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 43(6), 1023-1040. Reprinted with permission. All rights reserved.
dc.subjecturban economics
dc.subjectlabor market
dc.subjectattribution analysis
dc.subjectreal estate
dc.titleUrban Economic Base as a Catalyst for Movements in Real Estate Prices
dc.typearticle
local.authorAffiliationCoulson, N. Edward: The Pennsylvania State University
local.authorAffiliationLiu, Crocker H.: chl62@cornell.edu Cornell University School of Hotel Administration
local.authorAffiliationVillupuram, Sriram V.: Colorado State University

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