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Decision Making And Inference Under Limited Information And High Dimensionality

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Abstract

Statistical inference in high-dimensional probabilistic models is one of the central problems of statistical machine learning and stochastic decision making. To date, only a handful of distinct methods have been developed, most notably (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) sampling, decomposition, and variational methods. In this dissertation, we will introduce a fundamentally new approach based on random projections and combinatorial optimization. Our approach provides provable guarantees on accuracy, and outperforms traditional methods in a range of domains, in particular those involving combinations of probabilistic and causal dependencies (such as those coming from physical laws) among the variables. This allows for a tighter integration between inductive and deductive reasoning, and offers a range of new modeling opportunities. As an example, we will discuss an application in the emerging field of Computational Sustainability aimed at discovering new fuel-cell materials where we greatly improved the quality of the results by incorporating prior background knowledge of the physics of the system into the model.

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2015-01-26

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Gomes, Carla P

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Hopcroft, John E
Selman, Bart

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Computer Science

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Ph. D., Computer Science

Degree Level

Doctor of Philosophy

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Government Document

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dissertation or thesis

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