Performance Evaluation with High Moments and Disaster Risk
Kadan, Ohad; Liu, Fang
Traditional performance evaluation measures do not account for tail events and rare disasters. To address this issue, we reinterpret the riskiness measures of Aumann and Serrano (2008) and Foster and Hart (2009) as performance indices. We derive the moment properties of these indices and their sensitivity to rare disasters and show that they are consistent with the asset pricing literature. As applications, we show that “anomalous” investment strategies such as “momentum” or investment in private equity lose much of their glamour when accounting for high moments and rare events. Furthermore, using the indices to select mutual funds results in desirable high-moment properties out of sample.
performance evaluation; rare disasters; high distribution moments
Required Publisher Statement: © Journal of Financial Economics. Final version published as: Kadan, O., & Liu, F. (2014). Performance evaluation with high moments and disaster risk. Journal of Financial Economics, 113(1), 131-155. doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.03.006Reprinted with permission. All rights reserved.