Cornell University
Library
Cornell UniversityLibrary

eCommons

Help
Log In(current)
  1. Home
  2. Cornell SC Johnson College of Business
  3. Cornell Peter and Stephanie Nolan School of Hotel Administration
  4. Centers and Institutes
  5. Center for Real Estate and Finance
  6. Cornell Real Estate and Finance Working Papers
  7. Boom and Gloom

Boom and Gloom

File(s)
2012_Kosova_Boom_gloom.pdf (686.04 KB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/70901
Collections
Cornell Real Estate and Finance Working Papers
Author
Kosová, Renáta
Kumar, Praveen
Povel, Paul
Sertsios, Giorgo
Abstract

We use a novel database to study the performance of real assets created at different points of an investment cycle. Our database contains information on the construction year of virtually all hotels in the U.S., and performance information for the majority of them from 2000 to 2009. This allows us to identify the impact of hotel investment booms on the performance of hotels built during those booms. We find that, controlling for local (county-level) construction cycles, aggregate (U.S. level) booms do not have a long-term effect. However, hotels that were built during local hotel investment booms underperform their peers over several decades. We examine possible explanations for this long-lasting underperformance. We find evidence consistent with the presence of herding. That is, potential entrants in a local market regard the construction of a hotel as good news about that market and are more likely to enter themselves, but are later disappointed.

Date Issued
2012-11-27
Keywords
Cornell
•
investment cycles
•
herding models
•
hotel operations
Rights
Required Publisher Statement: © Cornell University. This report may not be reproduced or distributed without the express permission of the publisher.
Type
article

Site Statistics | Help

About eCommons | Policies | Terms of use | Contact Us

copyright © 2002-2026 Cornell University Library | Privacy | Web Accessibility Assistance