Cornell University
Library
Cornell UniversityLibrary

eCommons

Help
Log In(current)
  1. Home
  2. Cornell SC Johnson College of Business
  3. Charles H. Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management
  4. Applied Economics Research
  5. Dyson School Working Papers
  6. Stochastic Water Quality: The Timing and Option Value of Treatment

Stochastic Water Quality: The Timing and Option Value of Treatment

File(s)
Cornell_Dyson_wp0002.pdf (362.39 KB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/57769
Collections
Dyson School Working Papers
Author
Conrad, Jon M
Lopez, Andres
Abstract

An option-pricing model is developed to rank investments that might improve water quality. The model presumes that two investment options exist that have the potential to alter the stochastic drift of a pollutant. The investments have capital and operating costs and are irreversible once constructed. The stochastically evolving pollutant induces stochastic damage. An option-pricing model provides a criterion for determining when it is optimal to adopt the investment with the highest option value. Option value, in this model, measures the expected present value in reduced damage, relative to doing nothing. If the investments are mutually exclusive, it is possible to obtain closed-form solutions for the barriers which would trigger investment. If the investments can be sequentially adopted, a methodology is developed to calculate option values for all possible combinations of adoption dates. To illustrate the option pricing approach, a stylized analysis of investments to protect New York City’s water supply is presented. Watershed management dominates filtration and, in the case of mutually exclusive investments, is initiated when the concentration of phosphorus reaches 22.80 ?g/L.

Description
WP 2000-02 February 2000
Date Issued
2000-02
Publisher
Charles H. Dyson School of Applied Economics and Management, Cornell University
Type
article

Site Statistics | Help

About eCommons | Policies | Terms of use | Contact Us

copyright © 2002-2026 Cornell University Library | Privacy | Web Accessibility Assistance