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  4. Data from: Environmental and ecological signals predict periods of nutritional stress for Eastern Australian flying fox populations

Data from: Environmental and ecological signals predict periods of nutritional stress for Eastern Australian flying fox populations

File(s)
EbyEtal_bioRxiv2024_DATASET_README.rtf (55.63 KB)
EbyEtal_bioRxiv2024_DATASET.csv (43.23 KB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://doi.org/10.7298/kdst-sh97
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/113851
Collections
CVM Research
Author
Eby, Peggy
Lagergren, John
Ruiz-Aravena, Manuel
Becker, Daniel J.
Madden, Wyatt
Ruytenberg, Lib
Hoegh, Andrew
Han, Barbara
Peel, Alison J.
Jacobson, Daniel
Plowright, Raina K.
Abstract

Food availability determines where animals use space across a landscape and therefore affects the risk of encounters that lead to zoonotic spillover. This relationship is evident in Australian flying foxes (Pteropus spp; fruit bats), where acute food shortages precede clusters of Hendra virus spillovers. Using explainable artificial intelligence, we predicted months of food shortages from climatological and ecological covariates (1996-2022) in eastern Australia. Overall accuracy in predicting months of low food availability on a test set from 2018 up to 2022 reached 93.33% and 92.59% based on climatological and bat-level features, respectively. Seasonality and Oceanic El Niño Index were the most important environmental features, while the number of bats in rescue centers and their body weights were the most important bat-level features. These models support predictive signals up to nine months in advance, facilitating action to mitigate spillover risk. This dataset supports this research and conclusions.

Sponsorship
Funding was provided by the National Science Foundation (DEB-1716698, EF-2133763) and DARPA PREEMPT (D18AC00031)
Date Issued
2024-01-30
Keywords
resources
•
wildlife
•
pteropus
•
disease
Related Publication(s)
Lagergren, John, Manuel Ruiz-Aravena, Daniel J. Becker, Wyatt Madden, Lib Ruytenberg, Andrew Hoegh, Barbara Han, Alison J. Peel, Peggy Eby, Daniel Jacobson, and Raina K. Plowright (2023) Environmental and ecological signals predict periods of nutritional stress for Eastern Australian flying fox populations. bioRxiv 2023.12.01.569640. https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.12.01.569640
Link(s) to Related Publication(s)
https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.12.01.569640
Type
dataset

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