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  4. Data-Driven Dynamics: Estimation in the Presence of Noise

Data-Driven Dynamics: Estimation in the Presence of Noise

File(s)
Javeed_cornellgrad_0058F_11188.pdf (2.74 MB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://doi.org/10.7298/0vg0-0y95
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/64939
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Cornell Theses and Dissertations
Author
Javeed, Aurya
Abstract

Dynamical systems theory is routinely applied to a mathematical model of a process rather than the process itself. In contrast, this dissertation advances a data-driven approach to dynamics in which conclusions are drawn directly from observations of the process of interest. The focus here is on laying mathematical foundations for this perspective; thus the data has been idealized as paths of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). An example that makes this summary concrete is the study of locomotion: A "routine'' approach is to analyze a model; for instance, is the runner's gait stable or unstable per the model? Instead, this dissertation is motivated by motion capture data---a time series reminiscent of a periodic process perturbed by noise. A prevailing theory is that organisms remain upright by using sensory information (akin to motion capture data) to subconsciously estimate the stability of their gait. Chapter 2 studies this estimation problem mathematically. It derives an inequality that quantifies the uncertainty intrinsic to Floquet multiplier estimates constructed from SDE paths. This inequality governs a sufficiently broad class of estimation strategies that the bound it establishes sheds light on the feasibility of the theory about how animals remain upright. The "data-first" perspective pursued in Chapter 2 is so underdeveloped in the context of dynamics that the other chapters of this dissertation arise naturally: Do certain types of noise yield better multiplier estimates? (Chapter 3.) And what should be done when observations of the process are costly? (Chapter 4.)

Date Issued
2018-12-30
Keywords
Statistics
•
Applied mathematics
Committee Chair
Guckenheimer, John Mark
Committee Member
Hooker, Giles J.
Levine, Lionel
Degree Discipline
Applied Mathematics
Degree Name
Ph. D., Applied Mathematics
Degree Level
Doctor of Philosophy
Type
dissertation or thesis

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