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  3. Cornell Peter and Stephanie Nolan School of Hotel Administration
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  5. CRER Vol. 02 (2003)
  6. Real Estate Capitalization Rate Interpretations through the Cycle

Real Estate Capitalization Rate Interpretations through the Cycle

File(s)
2003_11_18_Corgel.pdf (28.57 KB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/70589
Collections
CRER Vol. 02 (2003)
Author
Corgel, John B.
Abstract

Both the numerator and denominator of real estate capitalization rates may experience different degrees of movement as markets evolve from one phase of the cycle to another. Capitalization rate interpretations become especially difficult surrounding these turning points. The issue takes two forms. First, periods of market transformation create confusion about what cap rate to apply. Opportunities may occur at turning points to introduce substantially different numerator estimates, which results in multiple capitalization rates for the same property and thus compromises the decision rules of modern investment theory. Second, simultaneous changes in its components (i.e., riskfree rate, risk premium and expected growth rate of income) cause capitalization rates to change, sometimes in unpredictable ways. Tracking the directional pattern of capitalization rates requires an understanding of how and why the components change. This article addresses both forms of the issue.

Journal / Series
Cornell Real Estate Review
Volume & Issue
Vol. 2
Date Issued
2003-07-01
Keywords
capitalization rates
•
real estate cycle
•
capitalization rate analysis
•
forecasting returns
•
capitalization rate trends
Rights
Required Publisher Statement: © Cornell University. Reprinted with permission. All rights reserved.
Type
article

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