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  5. The Worsening Shortage of College-Graduate Workers

The Worsening Shortage of College-Graduate Workers

File(s)
Bishop47_the_worsening_shortage_of_college.pdf (4.79 MB)
Permanent Link(s)
https://hdl.handle.net/1813/75114
Collections
ILR Articles and Chapters
Faculty Publications - Human Resource Studies
Author
Bishop, John H.
Carter, Shani
Abstract

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) projections of occupational employment growth have consistently underpredicted the growth of skilled occupations. BLS currently projects that professional, technical, and managerial jobs will account for 44.5% of employment growth between 1988 and 2000, while we project they will account for 70% of employment growth. Between March 1988 and March 1991 these occupations, in fact, accounted for 87% of employment growth. The BLS's projections of the supply/demand balance for college graduates have also been off the mark-predicting a surplus for the 1980s when, in fact, a shortage developed, and relative wage ratios for college graduates rose to all-time highs. We project that the supply of college educated workers will grow more slowly during the 1990s and that there will be a continuing escalation of wage premiums for college graduates.

Date Issued
1991-09-01
Keywords
ILR
•
center
•
human resource
•
studies
•
advance
•
employee
•
compensation
•
knowledge
•
economic
•
labor market
•
employer
•
skill
•
compensate
•
economy
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BLS
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occupation
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wage
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college graduate
Rights
Required Publisher Statement: This work may be downloaded only. It may not be copied or used for any purpose other than scholarship. If you wish to make copies or use it for a non-scholarly purpose, please contact AERA directly.
Type
article

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